Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / BAL · 2026

Bradish, Kyle

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
26.9% K%
Range
23.1% to 34.6%
Live Δ
yes
Team BAL Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 30 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.42
ERA current pace3.86
ERA rolling p503.66
Observed weight56%
ERA
2.58 3.09 3.66 4.24 4.75
FIP
3.30 3.54 3.81 4.09 4.33
K%
21.8% 23.3% 24.9% 26.5% 28.0%
BB%
8.3% 9.1% 10.0% 11.0% 11.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%11.8%
17 -41 vs proj
Barrel allowed10.2%
23 -24 vs proj
Fastball velo94.3
49
Hard-hit allowed38.1%
56
K%22.4%
51 -29 vs proj
Whiff%24.5%
62
xwOBA allowed0.316
47 -19 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+102
53
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Bradish, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3142026-05-19: 0.3142026-05-21: 0.3202026-05-23: 0.3202026-05-24: 0.3202026-05-25: 0.3202026-05-26: 0.3222026-05-28: 0.3222026-05-29: 0.3222026-05-30: 0.3222026-05-31: 0.3222026-06-01: 0.316 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Bradish, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 42%42%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradish, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 29.8%Slider: 27.1%Curveball: 22.7%4-Seam Fastball: 20.3% MIX SI 30%SL 27%CU 23%FF 20% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradish, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot SI: HB -0.1, IVB 1.5SISL: HB -0.0, IVB 3.1SLCU: HB 0.4, IVB 4.4CUFF: HB 0.1, IVB 1.5FF horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 30.3% 340 98 qualified
SL 27.0% 303 106 qualified
CB 23.0% 258 103 qualified
FB 19.7% 221 101 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 33%, Slider 32%, 4-Seam Fastball 23%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.44
K% Δ-0.045
Sample69.7 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings66.0----
Batters Faced267----
K%26.9%23.1% to 34.6%+/- 5.8%
BB%8.3%5.4% to 10.8%+/- 2.7%
Whiff%25.8%21.9% to 30.8%+/- 4.5%
HR/91.130.52 to 1.66+/- 0.57
xwOBA Against0.2970.259 to 0.324+/- 0.032
Barrel% Allowed8.0%5.4% to 10.7%+/- 2.7%
ERA3.421.88 to 4.94+/- 1.53
FIP3.382.32 to 3.77+/- 0.73
WHIP1.1670.965 to 1.402+/- 0.219
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

662 career BF

xwOBA0.285
K%26.8%
BB%8.6%
Barrel7.7%
vs RHH

884 career BF

xwOBA0.267
K%26.3%
BB%6.1%
Barrel6.9%