Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / BAL · 2026

Bradish, Kyle

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
26.9% K%
Range
23.1% to 34.6%
Live Δ
yes
Team BAL Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 30 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
40
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
43
Arsenal5 metrics
47
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-05
ERA preseason3.42
ERA current pace4.01
ERA rolling p503.85
Observed weight73%
ERA
2.66 3.22 3.85 4.48 5.04
FIP
3.39 3.66 3.96 4.26 4.53
K%
21.0% 22.0% 23.1% 24.3% 25.3%
BB%
8.2% 8.9% 9.6% 10.2% 10.9%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.45
30
ERA4.01
50
BB%10.2%
35 -22 vs proj
K%21.3%
44 -37 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.319
42 -27 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.0%
41
Fastball velo94.5
50
Hard-hit allowed38.9%
46
Whiff%22.6%
48 -25 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-05
Curveball Stuff+103
52
Fastball Stuff+101
37
Mithrandir Stuff+102
50
Sinker Stuff+100
33
Slider Stuff+103
63
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 36%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Bradish, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.319 2026-08-25: 0.3182026-08-26: 0.3182026-08-27: 0.3202026-08-28: 0.3202026-08-29: 0.3202026-08-30: 0.3202026-08-31: 0.3202026-09-01: 0.3202026-09-02: 0.3192026-09-03: 0.3192026-09-04: 0.3192026-09-05: 0.319 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Bradish, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 33%33%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 43%43%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradish, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 35.9%Slider: 24.7%Curveball: 21.5%4-Seam Fastball: 17.4%Changeup: 0.5% SI36% · 95 mphprimary pitch SI 36%SL 25%CU 21%FF 17%CH 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradish, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sinker: 36% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 94.7 mphSI95 mphSlider: 25% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 87.3 mphSL87 mphCurveball: 21% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 51″ drop, 84.8 mphCU85 mph4-Seam Fastball: 17% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 94.1 mphFF94 mphChangeup: 1% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 90.4 mphCH90 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 35.8% 625 100 qualified
SL 24.7% 431 103 qualified
CB 21.4% 373 103 qualified
FB 17.9% 313 101 qualified
CH 0.2% 4 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 33%, Slider 32%, 4-Seam Fastball 23%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+0.59
K% Δ-0.055
Sample150.0 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings66.8----
Batters Faced270----
K%26.9%23.1% to 34.6%+/- 5.8%
BB%8.3%5.4% to 10.8%+/- 2.7%
Whiff%25.8%21.9% to 30.8%+/- 4.5%
HR/91.130.52 to 1.66+/- 0.57
xwOBA Against0.2970.259 to 0.324+/- 0.032
Barrel% Allowed8.0%5.4% to 10.7%+/- 2.7%
ERA3.421.88 to 4.94+/- 1.53
FIP3.382.32 to 3.77+/- 0.73
WHIP1.1670.965 to 1.402+/- 0.219
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

662 career BF

xwOBA0.285
K%26.8%
BB%8.6%
Barrel7.7%
vs RHH

884 career BF

xwOBA0.267
K%26.3%
BB%6.1%
Barrel6.9%