Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.45 |
| ERA current pace | 3.07 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.73 |
| Observed weight | 52% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 51.1% | 419 | 106 | qualified |
| SL | 33.9% | 278 | 101 | qualified |
| CB | 6.0% | 49 | 102 | limited sample |
| SI | 5.0% | 41 | 100 | limited sample |
| CH | 3.4% | 28 | 102 | limited sample |
| FC | 0.6% | 5 | 56 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.14 |
| K% Δ | -0.081 |
| Sample | 66.7 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 66.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 285 | -- | -- |
| K% | 25.2% | 21.3% to 31.7% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 4.9% to 10.8% | +/- 2.9% |
| Whiff% | 20.5% | 18.0% to 26.4% | +/- 4.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.43 | 0.80 to 2.08 | +/- 0.64 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.293 | 0.281 to 0.353 | +/- 0.036 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.6% | 5.1% to 10.2% | +/- 2.5% |
| ERA | 4.21 | 3.46 to 6.71 | +/- 1.63 |
| FIP | 3.95 | 2.88 to 5.65 | +/- 1.38 |
| WHIP | 1.257 | 1.111 to 1.590 | +/- 0.240 |
| xwOBA | 0.281 |
| K% | 24.2% |
| BB% | 5.8% |
| Barrel | 5.7% |
| xwOBA | 0.303 |
| K% | 22.9% |
| BB% | 6.5% |
| Barrel | 7.1% |
