Miller, Bryce
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.80 |
| ERA current pace | 2.25 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.42 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 56.2% | 140 | 116 | limited sample |
| SL | 35.3% | 88 | 104 | limited sample |
| CB | 5.6% | 14 | 100 | limited sample |
| SI | 2.8% | 7 | 109 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -1.90 |
| K% Δ | +0.031 |
| Sample | 21.0 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 143.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 600 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.2% | 18.1% to 28.5% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 5.5% to 9.3% | +/- 1.9% |
| Whiff% | 22.4% | 19.4% to 26.6% | +/- 3.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.33 | 0.76 to 2.01 | +/- 0.63 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.320 | 0.280 to 0.350 | +/- 0.035 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 5.8% to 12.0% | +/- 3.1% |
| ERA | 4.15 | 2.97 to 5.64 | +/- 1.33 |
| FIP | 4.17 | 2.78 to 5.77 | +/- 1.49 |
| WHIP | 1.190 | 0.955 to 1.442 | +/- 0.243 |
879 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.314 |
| K% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 7.8% |
| Barrel | 9.9% |
906 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 22.6% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 8.1% |