Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / MIL · 2026

Uribe, Abner

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
27.0% K%
Range
21.6% to 36.0%
Live Δ
yes
Team MIL Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 26 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.13
ERA current pace4.19
ERA rolling p503.43
Observed weight29%
ERA
1.70 2.52 3.43 4.34 5.16
FIP
2.16 2.71 3.31 3.91 4.45
K%
21.5% 24.0% 26.8% 29.7% 32.2%
BB%
6.7% 8.5% 10.5% 12.4% 14.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%9.4%
39
Barrel allowed3.2%
94 +20 vs proj
Fastball velo98.3
96
Hard-hit allowed38.1%
56
K%25.0%
69
Whiff%20.0%
23 -53 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.283
78
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+104
68
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 64%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

10 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Uribe, Abner · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-21: 0.3032026-05-23: 0.3032026-05-24: 0.3032026-05-25: 0.3032026-05-26: 0.3032026-05-28: 0.2982026-05-29: 0.2982026-05-30: 0.2982026-05-31: 0.2902026-06-01: 0.283 2026-05-21 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Uribe, Abner · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 23%23%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Uribe, Abner · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 64.0%Slider: 35.5%Changeup: 0.5% MIX SI 64%SL 35%CH 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Uribe, Abner · 2026 arsenal snapshot SI: HB 0.1, IVB 1.8SISL: HB -0.3, IVB 2.7SLCH: HB -1.3, IVB 2.1CH horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 64.7% 213 102 qualified
SL 35.3% 116 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 52%, Slider 46%, 4-Seam Fastball 2%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ+1.11
K% Δ-0.020
Sample23.0 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings38.5----
Batters Faced162----
K%27.0%21.6% to 36.0%+/- 7.2%
BB%10.8%6.2% to 16.3%+/- 5.0%
Whiff%26.8%22.8% to 33.6%+/- 5.4%
HR/90.600.18 to 1.49+/- 0.65
xwOBA Against0.2900.215 to 0.342+/- 0.064
Barrel% Allowed5.8%2.5% to 10.1%+/- 3.8%
ERA3.080.67 to 5.17+/- 2.25
FIP3.142.27 to 5.23+/- 1.48
WHIP1.2921.004 to 1.692+/- 0.344
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

232 career BF

xwOBA0.273
K%26.4%
BB%13.1%
Barrel4.0%
vs RHH

326 career BF

xwOBA0.259
K%27.0%
BB%9.0%
Barrel4.6%