Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / MIL · 2026

Uribe, Abner

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
27.0% K%
Range
21.6% to 36.0%
Live Δ
yes
Team MIL Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 26 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
82
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
82
Arsenal3 metrics
60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-05
ERA preseason3.12
ERA current pace1.97
ERA rolling p502.59
Observed weight46%
ERA
0.99 1.75 2.59 3.43 4.19
FIP
2.08 2.58 3.14 3.69 4.19
K%
22.3% 24.4% 26.6% 28.9% 30.9%
BB%
7.0% 8.4% 9.9% 11.5% 12.9%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.98
94
ERA1.97
96
BB%8.8%
51 +24 vs proj
K%25.5%
73
xwOBA allowed0.258
94 +18 vs proj
Barrel allowed1.5%
99 +22 vs proj
Fastball velo98.7
98
Hard-hit allowed34.1%
80
Whiff%23.1%
52 -27 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-05
Sinker Stuff+100
35
Mithrandir Stuff+104
73
Slider Stuff+104
73
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 62%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Uribe, Abner · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.258 2026-08-25: 0.2602026-08-26: 0.2602026-08-27: 0.2602026-08-28: 0.2602026-08-29: 0.2602026-08-30: 0.2602026-08-31: 0.2602026-09-01: 0.2602026-09-02: 0.2572026-09-03: 0.2582026-09-04: 0.2582026-09-05: 0.258 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Uribe, Abner · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 21%21%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Uribe, Abner · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 62.1%Slider: 37.4%Changeup: 0.2%4-Seam Fastball: 0.2% SI62% · 99 mphprimary pitch SI 62%SL 37%CH 0%FF 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Uribe, Abner · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Sinker: 62% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 98.7 mphSI99 mphSlider: 37% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 87.5 mphSL87 mphChangeup: 0% usage, 16″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 93.3 mphCH93 mph4-Seam Fastball: 0% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 97.9 mphFF98 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 61.4% 275 100 qualified
SL 38.4% 172 104 limited sample
FB 0.2% 1 121 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 52%, Slider 46%, 4-Seam Fastball 2%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.11
K% Δ-0.015
Sample52.0 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings38.2----
Batters Faced161----
K%27.0%21.6% to 36.0%+/- 7.2%
BB%10.8%6.2% to 16.3%+/- 5.0%
Whiff%26.8%22.8% to 33.6%+/- 5.4%
HR/90.600.18 to 1.49+/- 0.65
xwOBA Against0.2900.215 to 0.342+/- 0.064
Barrel% Allowed5.8%2.5% to 10.1%+/- 3.8%
ERA3.080.67 to 5.17+/- 2.25
FIP3.142.27 to 5.23+/- 1.48
WHIP1.2921.004 to 1.692+/- 0.344
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

232 career BF

xwOBA0.273
K%26.4%
BB%13.1%
Barrel4.0%
vs RHH

326 career BF

xwOBA0.259
K%27.0%
BB%9.0%
Barrel4.6%