Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / ATL · 2026

Molina, Anthony

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
18.1% K%
Range
11.6% to 25.7%
Live Δ
--
Team ATL Archetype Volatile contact Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason4.16
ERA current pace0.00
ERA rolling p503.93
Observed weight6%
ERA
1.23 2.51 3.93 5.35 6.62
FIP
3.42 4.04 4.73 5.42 6.04
K%
9.8% 12.9% 16.5% 20.0% 23.1%
BB%
3.7% 5.2% 7.0% 8.7% 10.3%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+96
15
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2025Season 44%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Molina, Anthony · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 39%39%Whiff: 32%32%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 36%36%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Molina, Anthony · 2025 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 44.4%Changeup: 18.1%Curveball: 15.0%Slider: 14.3%Sinker: 4.8%Cutter: 3.5% MIX FF 44%CH 18%CU 15%SL 14%SI 5%FC 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Molina, Anthony · 2025 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.1, IVB 1.2FFCH: HB -1.0, IVB 2.5CHCU: HB -0.1, IVB 3.4CUSL: HB -0.3, IVB 2.6SLSI: HB 0.2, IVB 1.4SIFC: HB 0.0, IVB 2.0FC horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 42.3% 11 89 limited sample
CB 34.6% 9 100 limited sample
CH 23.1% 6 117 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Needs the arsenal to hold up against lefties (0.366 vs 0.327 xwOBA allowed split).
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 44%, Changeup 18%, Curveball 15%.
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings62.4----
Batters Faced285----
K%18.1%11.6% to 25.7%+/- 7.0%
BB%7.1%2.9% to 9.8%+/- 3.5%
Whiff%21.5%16.1% to 26.9%+/- 5.4%
HR/91.310.53 to 2.14+/- 0.80
xwOBA Against0.3240.273 to 0.380+/- 0.053
Barrel% Allowed9.1%4.9% to 12.7%+/- 3.9%
ERA4.441.64 to 7.34+/- 2.85
FIP4.503.34 to 6.10+/- 1.38
WHIP1.3901.098 to 1.776+/- 0.339
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

200 career BF

xwOBA0.366
K%13.3%
BB%6.8%
Barrel9.7%
vs RHH

247 career BF

xwOBA0.327
K%14.9%
BB%4.4%
Barrel8.7%