Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.48 |
| ERA current pace | 2.98 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.21 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 56.0% | 288 | 104 | qualified |
| FB | 25.9% | 133 | 104 | limited sample |
| CH | 18.1% | 93 | 104 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.57 |
| K% Δ | -0.017 |
| Sample | 65.7 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 43.5 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 178 | -- | -- |
| K% | 24.5% | 18.2% to 32.9% | +/- 7.3% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 4.8% to 11.2% | +/- 3.2% |
| Whiff% | 26.6% | 22.2% to 32.2% | +/- 5.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.24 | 0.47 to 1.94 | +/- 0.73 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.306 | 0.258 to 0.352 | +/- 0.047 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.2% | 4.7% to 12.4% | +/- 3.9% |
| ERA | 3.55 | 1.72 to 5.45 | +/- 1.87 |
| FIP | 3.77 | 2.81 to 5.42 | +/- 1.31 |
| WHIP | 1.154 | 0.960 to 1.548 | +/- 0.294 |
| xwOBA | 0.290 |
| K% | 23.4% |
| BB% | 7.6% |
| Barrel | 8.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.283 |
| K% | 24.1% |
| BB% | 5.8% |
| Barrel | 7.9% |
