Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.64 |
| ERA current pace | 4.99 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.84 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 38.7% | 413 | 98 | qualified |
| CH | 23.2% | 248 | 104 | qualified |
| FB | 21.4% | 229 | 96 | qualified |
| SL | 16.7% | 178 | 93 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.34 |
| K% Δ | +0.016 |
| Sample | 71.3 IP |
negative regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 139.8 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 635 | -- | -- |
| K% | 16.0% | 10.2% to 22.2% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 8.4% | 5.8% to 10.6% | +/- 2.4% |
| Whiff% | 20.1% | 15.8% to 23.5% | +/- 3.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.56 | 0.91 to 2.14 | +/- 0.62 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.354 | 0.295 to 0.394 | +/- 0.049 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.4% | 5.3% to 11.1% | +/- 2.9% |
| ERA | 5.33 | 3.35 to 7.18 | +/- 1.91 |
| FIP | 4.87 | 3.70 to 6.00 | +/- 1.15 |
| WHIP | 1.508 | 1.187 to 1.720 | +/- 0.267 |
| xwOBA | 0.327 |
| K% | 11.2% |
| BB% | 8.5% |
| Barrel | 8.5% |
| xwOBA | 0.297 |
| K% | 13.6% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |
