Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / WSH · 2026

Palmquist, Carson

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
18.8% K%
Range
11.2% to 26.3%
Live Δ
--
Team WSH Archetype Volatile contact Age 26 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
27
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal5 metrics
27
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-05
Cutter Stuff+93
3
Fastball Stuff+103
52
Mithrandir Stuff+100
30
Sinker Stuff+101
43
Slider Stuff+94
7
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 42%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Palmquist, Carson · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 56%56%Hard hit allowed: 23%23% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Palmquist, Carson · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 41.9%Sinker: 32.6%4-Seam Fastball: 15.7%Cutter: 9.9% ST42% · 74 mphprimary pitch ST 42%SI 33%FF 16%FC 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Palmquist, Carson · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sweeper: 42% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 49″ drop, 73.9 mphST74 mphSinker: 33% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 90.6 mphSI91 mph4-Seam Fastball: 16% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 91.2 mphFF91 mphCutter: 10% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 82.0 mphFC82 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 43.6% 44 101 limited sample
SL 27.7% 28 94 limited sample
FB 14.9% 15 103 limited sample
FC 13.9% 14 93 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 52%, Sweeper 31%, Cutter 12%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings65.6----
Batters Faced328----
K%18.8%11.2% to 26.3%+/- 7.5%
BB%9.5%6.5% to 14.0%+/- 3.8%
Whiff%19.1%14.1% to 24.8%+/- 5.4%
HR/91.420.57 to 2.45+/- 0.94
xwOBA Against0.3210.248 to 0.342+/- 0.047
Barrel% Allowed8.7%4.9% to 15.1%+/- 5.1%
ERA5.321.14 to 7.64+/- 3.25
FIP4.562.99 to 6.80+/- 1.91
WHIP1.3591.108 to 1.903+/- 0.397
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

47 career BF

xwOBA0.275
K%15.6%
BB%10.1%
Barrel11.4%
vs RHH

128 career BF

xwOBA0.294
K%13.1%
BB%10.7%
Barrel11.9%