Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.16 |
| ERA current pace | 6.25 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 5.08 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 32.3% | 182 | 97 | limited sample |
| FC | 27.9% | 157 | 104 | limited sample |
| FB | 26.5% | 149 | 100 | limited sample |
| SI | 13.3% | 75 | 106 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +1.87 |
| K% Δ | -0.023 |
| Sample | 40.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 32.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 144 | -- | -- |
| K% | 17.6% | 9.4% to 26.3% | +/- 8.4% |
| BB% | 9.4% | 6.0% to 13.9% | +/- 4.0% |
| Whiff% | 25.7% | 20.1% to 31.8% | +/- 5.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.41 | 0.36 to 2.26 | +/- 0.95 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.338 | 0.271 to 0.420 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.9% | 4.1% to 15.6% | +/- 5.8% |
| ERA | 4.38 | 3.11 to 7.95 | +/- 2.42 |
| FIP | 4.60 | 3.12 to 6.24 | +/- 1.56 |
| WHIP | 1.348 | 1.014 to 1.766 | +/- 0.376 |
| xwOBA | 0.310 |
| K% | 12.2% |
| BB% | 10.1% |
| Barrel | 11.7% |
| xwOBA | 0.294 |
| K% | 13.2% |
| BB% | 7.9% |
| Barrel | 10.5% |
