Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Oct 20 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TOR · 2026

Fluharty, Mason

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
26.0% K%
Range
20.2% to 34.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team TOR Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 25 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-20
68
Pitching
percentile
Pitching8 metrics
72
Arsenal4 metrics
42
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-20
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.22
68
ERA3.30
75
BB%10.3%
32
K%25.1%
71
xwOBA allowed0.261
94
Barrel allowed5.8%
77
Hard-hit allowed32.0%
92
Whiff%25.0%
68
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-10-20
Cutter Stuff+100
39
Mithrandir Stuff+102
44
Slider Stuff+104
69
Changeup Stuff+96
15
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Fluharty, Mason · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.261 2026-10-09: 0.2612026-10-10: 0.2612026-10-11: 0.2612026-10-12: 0.2612026-10-13: 0.2612026-10-14: 0.2612026-10-15: 0.2612026-10-16: 0.2612026-10-17: 0.2612026-10-18: 0.2612026-10-19: 0.2612026-10-20: 0.261 2026-10-09 2026-10-20 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Fluharty, Mason · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fluharty, Mason · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 50.0%Sweeper: 39.2%Changeup: 10.8% FC50% · 91 mphprimary pitch FC 50%ST 39%CH 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Fluharty, Mason · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Cutter: 50% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 90.8 mphFC91 mphSweeper: 39% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 82.2 mphST82 mphChangeup: 11% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 87.4 mphCH87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 52.1% 355 100 qualified
SL 38.5% 262 104 qualified
CH 9.4% 64 96 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Plays better against lefties right now (0.240 vs 0.268 xwOBA allowed split).
2
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
3
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Cutter 57%, Sweeper 43%, Sinker 0%.
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--
Sample64.0 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings35.8----
Batters Faced155----
K%26.0%20.2% to 34.3%+/- 7.1%
BB%10.3%6.7% to 14.7%+/- 4.0%
Whiff%28.4%21.3% to 34.5%+/- 6.6%
HR/91.230.24 to 2.03+/- 0.90
xwOBA Against0.3120.234 to 0.358+/- 0.062
Barrel% Allowed8.7%3.4% to 14.9%+/- 5.8%
ERA4.002.64 to 7.10+/- 2.23
FIP4.102.71 to 5.33+/- 1.31
WHIP1.3821.023 to 1.762+/- 0.369
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

124 career BF

xwOBA0.240
K%26.4%
BB%9.1%
Barrel8.6%
vs RHH

141 career BF

xwOBA0.268
K%21.8%
BB%9.4%
Barrel11.7%