Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans on stable run prevention more than one extreme carrying pitch trait.
Pitcher projection / CWS · 2026
Thorpe, Drew
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Team CWS
Archetype Volatile contact
Age 26
Status IL-60
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Insufficient sample
Percentile strips appear after the current-season sample clears the threshold.
Mithrandir+
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher.
Stuff+ pending
No current Stuff+ row is available for this pitcher in the latest daily scoring artifact. The profile keeps this block visible so missing coverage is explicit rather than silent.
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
No zone aggregate is available.
No zone heatmap
No zone aggregate is available for this profile.
Pitch arsenal
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
No 2026 pitch arsenal snapshot is available for this pitcher.
No arsenal chart
No pitch arsenal aggregate is available for this profile.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 140.8 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 627 | -- | -- |
| K% | 22.7% | 9.8% to 22.7% | +/- 6.4% |
| BB% | 8.0% | 4.7% to 9.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| Whiff% | 23.5% | 16.3% to 26.8% | +/- 5.3% |
| HR/9 | 1.73 | 0.73 to 2.19 | +/- 0.73 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.327 | 0.214 to 0.350 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.8% | 2.8% to 9.9% | +/- 3.6% |
| ERA | 4.35 | 2.48 to 5.47 | +/- 1.50 |
| FIP | 4.71 | 3.05 to 7.06 | +/- 2.01 |
| WHIP | 1.198 | 0.762 to 1.625 | +/- 0.432 |
vs LHH
98 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.194 |
| K% | 9.3% |
| BB% | 6.7% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
vs RHH
111 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.191 |
| K% | 10.0% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 4.4% |