Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / CWS · 2026

Taylor, Grant

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
30.0% K%
Range
24.7% to 37.5%
Live Δ
yes
Team CWS Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
85
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
75
Arsenal5 metrics
86
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-05
ERA preseason3.78
ERA current pace2.00
ERA rolling p502.79
Observed weight56%
ERA
1.56 2.14 2.79 3.44 4.02
FIP
1.87 2.37 2.93 3.49 3.99
K%
27.2% 28.8% 30.6% 32.4% 34.0%
BB%
7.5% 8.4% 9.3% 10.3% 11.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.08
86
ERA2.00
96
BB%8.6%
54 +22 vs proj
K%31.5%
95
xwOBA allowed0.257
94
Barrel allowed6.7%
62
Fastball velo98.3
95
Hard-hit allowed42.7%
22
Whiff%25.3%
70
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-05
Fastball Stuff+111
97
Mithrandir Stuff+109
97
Curveball Stuff+105
91
Sinker Stuff+103
58
Slider Stuff+106
85
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 46%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Taylor, Grant · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.257 2026-08-25: 0.2432026-08-26: 0.2432026-08-27: 0.2432026-08-28: 0.2432026-08-29: 0.2432026-08-30: 0.2482026-08-31: 0.2482026-09-01: 0.2482026-09-02: 0.2472026-09-03: 0.2472026-09-04: 0.2472026-09-05: 0.257 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Taylor, Grant · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Grant · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 46.1%Curveball: 26.7%Slider: 15.4%Sinker: 11.2%Cutter: 0.7% FF46% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 46%CU 27%SL 15%SI 11%FC 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Grant · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 46% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 98.1 mphFF98 mphCurveball: 27% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 55″ drop, 83.8 mphCU84 mphSlider: 15% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 89.4 mphSL89 mphSinker: 11% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 98.8 mphSI99 mphCutter: 1% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 95.4 mphFC95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 47.8% 341 111 qualified
CB 24.9% 178 105 limited sample
SL 15.8% 113 106 limited sample
SI 10.9% 78 103 limited sample
FC 0.6% 4 89 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 55%, Curveball 22%, Cutter 17%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.70
K% Δ+0.015
Sample74.7 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings65.8----
Batters Faced287----
K%30.0%24.7% to 37.5%+/- 6.4%
BB%10.6%7.4% to 13.8%+/- 3.2%
Whiff%26.6%21.9% to 32.7%+/- 5.4%
HR/91.000.04 to 1.43+/- 0.70
xwOBA Against0.2750.232 to 0.319+/- 0.043
Barrel% Allowed6.8%3.4% to 9.8%+/- 3.2%
ERA3.622.73 to 6.20+/- 1.73
FIP2.951.28 to 4.26+/- 1.49
WHIP1.3211.060 to 1.648+/- 0.294
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

90 career BF

xwOBA0.225
K%26.9%
BB%10.9%
Barrel5.1%
vs RHH

68 career BF

xwOBA0.223
K%27.3%
BB%7.5%
Barrel5.5%