Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / CWS · 2026

Taylor, Grant

Late-inning arm with usable miss-bat shape

Primary
30.0% K%
Range
24.7% to 37.5%
Live Δ
yes
Team CWS Archetype Balanced reliever 2 Age 24 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.78
ERA current pace2.36
ERA rolling p503.28
Observed weight36%
ERA
2.00 2.60 3.28 3.95 4.55
FIP
1.69 2.21 2.79 3.36 3.88
K%
26.5% 28.7% 31.0% 33.4% 35.6%
BB%
7.0% 8.1% 9.3% 10.5% 11.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%7.5%
68 +41 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.3%
80 +17 vs proj
Fastball velo98.4
98
Hard-hit allowed43.4%
26
K%33.8%
97
Whiff%25.1%
66
xwOBA allowed0.242
95
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+112
99
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 53%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Taylor, Grant · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2522026-05-19: 0.2492026-05-21: 0.2422026-05-23: 0.2422026-05-24: 0.2422026-05-25: 0.2532026-05-26: 0.2502026-05-28: 0.2502026-05-29: 0.2502026-05-30: 0.2512026-05-31: 0.2512026-06-01: 0.242 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Taylor, Grant · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Grant · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 53.0%Curveball: 23.1%Slider: 16.2%Sinker: 6.2%Cutter: 1.4% MIX FF 53%CU 23%SL 16%SI 6%FC 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Grant · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.0, IVB 0.9FFCU: HB 0.1, IVB 4.5CUSL: HB -0.6, IVB 2.7SLSI: HB 0.9, IVB 1.3SIFC: HB 0.3, IVB 2.1FC horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 52.8% 251 113 qualified
CB 22.7% 108 107 limited sample
SL 17.1% 81 106 limited sample
SI 6.5% 31 107 limited sample
FC 0.8% 4 89 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 55%, Curveball 22%, Cutter 17%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.26
K% Δ+0.039
Sample31.7 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings64.9----
Batters Faced283----
K%30.0%24.7% to 37.5%+/- 6.4%
BB%10.6%7.4% to 13.8%+/- 3.2%
Whiff%26.6%21.9% to 32.7%+/- 5.4%
HR/91.000.04 to 1.43+/- 0.70
xwOBA Against0.2750.232 to 0.319+/- 0.043
Barrel% Allowed6.8%3.4% to 9.8%+/- 3.2%
ERA3.622.73 to 6.20+/- 1.73
FIP2.951.28 to 4.26+/- 1.49
WHIP1.3211.060 to 1.648+/- 0.294
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

90 career BF

xwOBA0.225
K%26.9%
BB%10.9%
Barrel5.1%
vs RHH

68 career BF

xwOBA0.223
K%27.3%
BB%7.5%
Barrel5.5%