Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Oct 18 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / NYY · 2026

Schlittler, Cam

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
22.7% K%
Range
20.4% to 31.1%
Live Δ
yes
Team NYY Archetype Balanced starter Age 25 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-18
94
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
83
Arsenal6 metrics
75
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.92
97
ERA1.95
96
BB%6.3%
86
K%30.7%
95
xwOBA allowed0.263
93
Barrel allowed7.1%
55
Fastball velo98.0
94
Hard-hit allowed38.9%
46
Whiff%26.7%
80
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-10-18
Cutter Stuff+106
89
Fastball Stuff+110
94
Mithrandir Stuff+109
97
Sinker Stuff+105
75
Curveball Stuff+104
76
Slider Stuff+97
19
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 44%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Schlittler, Cam · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.263 2026-10-07: 0.2632026-10-08: 0.2632026-10-09: 0.2632026-10-10: 0.2632026-10-11: 0.2632026-10-12: 0.2632026-10-13: 0.2632026-10-14: 0.2632026-10-15: 0.2632026-10-16: 0.2632026-10-17: 0.2632026-10-18: 0.263 2026-10-07 2026-10-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Schlittler, Cam · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schlittler, Cam · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 44.5%Cutter: 24.9%Sinker: 18.9%Curveball: 10.7%Slider: 1.0%Pitch Out: 0.0% FF44% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 44%FC 25%SI 19%CU 11%SL 1%PO 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Schlittler, Cam · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 44% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 98.0 mphFF98 mphCutter: 25% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 94.6 mphFC95 mphSinker: 19% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 97.9 mphSI98 mphCurveball: 11% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 48″ drop, 86.1 mphCU86 mphSlider: 1% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 89.3 mphSL89 mphPitch Out: 0% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 96.5 mphPO96 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 44.1% 749 110 qualified
FC 27.1% 461 106 qualified
SI 18.2% 310 105 qualified
CB 9.1% 155 104 limited sample
SL 1.5% 25 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 54%, Cutter 19%, Curveball 14%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--
Sample208.0 IP

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings142.4----
Batters Faced601----
K%22.7%20.4% to 31.1%+/- 5.4%
BB%8.2%6.1% to 10.9%+/- 2.4%
Whiff%20.9%17.5% to 26.0%+/- 4.2%
HR/91.250.60 to 1.83+/- 0.62
xwOBA Against0.3180.286 to 0.338+/- 0.026
Barrel% Allowed7.6%4.6% to 10.5%+/- 2.9%
ERA4.152.17 to 5.14+/- 1.48
FIP3.802.48 to 4.39+/- 0.96
WHIP1.2140.966 to 1.495+/- 0.265
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

223 career BF

xwOBA0.258
K%22.1%
BB%8.4%
Barrel5.4%
vs RHH

173 career BF

xwOBA0.261
K%21.1%
BB%6.2%
Barrel6.6%