Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.87 |
| ERA current pace | 4.50 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.73 |
| Observed weight | 36% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH | 33.4% | 147 | 103 | limited sample |
| SL | 24.5% | 108 | 105 | limited sample |
| FB | 20.9% | 92 | 100 | limited sample |
| SI | 18.4% | 81 | 103 | limited sample |
| FC | 2.7% | 12 | 101 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.51 |
| K% Δ | +0.024 |
| Sample | 32.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 67.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 287 | -- | -- |
| K% | 23.1% | 20.6% to 30.1% | +/- 4.7% |
| BB% | 7.8% | 5.9% to 11.3% | +/- 2.7% |
| Whiff% | 23.2% | 20.5% to 28.4% | +/- 4.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.16 | 0.69 to 1.65 | +/- 0.48 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.306 | 0.289 to 0.355 | +/- 0.033 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.7% | 5.6% to 10.7% | +/- 2.6% |
| ERA | 3.99 | 2.80 to 6.04 | +/- 1.62 |
| FIP | 3.73 | 2.78 to 5.07 | +/- 1.15 |
| WHIP | 1.277 | 0.994 to 1.586 | +/- 0.296 |
| xwOBA | 0.255 |
| K% | 24.1% |
| BB% | 6.7% |
| Barrel | 5.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 22.1% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 7.6% |
