Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / WSH · 2026

Sinclair, Jack

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
20.2% K%
Range
2.1% to 23.3%
Live Δ
--
Team WSH Archetype Volatile contact Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
100
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal1 metrics
100
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-05
Mithrandir Stuff+113
100
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2025Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Sinclair, Jack · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 45%45%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 67%67%Hard hit allowed: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sinclair, Jack · 2025 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 50.0%Sweeper: 36.4%Changeup: 13.6% SI50% · 92 mphprimary pitch SI 50%ST 36%CH 14% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sinclair, Jack · 2025 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 50% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 92.4 mphSI92 mphSweeper: 36% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 80.5 mphST81 mphChangeup: 14% usage, 18″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 84.1 mphCH84 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 50.0% 8 104 limited sample
FB 31.2% 5 110 limited sample
SI 18.8% 3 134 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Sinker 50%, Sweeper 36%, Changeup 14%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings31.2----
Batters Faced130----
K%20.2%2.1% to 23.3%+/- 10.6%
BB%7.7%0.1% to 11.5%+/- 5.7%
Whiff%21.9%2.9% to 27.5%+/- 12.3%
HR/91.310.00 to 1.44+/- 0.72
xwOBA Against0.2840.004 to 0.308+/- 0.152
Barrel% Allowed7.6%0.1% to 8.7%+/- 4.3%
ERA3.880.00 to 4.83+/- 2.42
FIP4.080.90 to 5.38+/- 2.24
WHIP1.1560.155 to 1.355+/- 0.600
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

3 career BF

xwOBA0.004
K%3.2%
BB%0.1%
Barrel0.1%
vs RHH

3 career BF

xwOBA0.004
K%3.3%
BB%0.1%
Barrel0.1%