Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.96 |
| ERA current pace | 4.14 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.04 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 54.7% | 232 | 106 | qualified |
| SI | 31.6% | 134 | 94 | limited sample |
| CH | 13.7% | 58 | 110 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.17 |
| K% Δ | +0.004 |
| Sample | 41.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 32.5 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 147 | -- | -- |
| K% | 23.6% | 13.3% to 27.6% | +/- 7.1% |
| BB% | 9.5% | 5.1% to 13.8% | +/- 4.3% |
| Whiff% | 24.7% | 18.4% to 30.9% | +/- 6.2% |
| HR/9 | 0.97 | 0.00 to 1.44 | +/- 0.72 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.308 | 0.235 to 0.354 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 5.9% | 0.1% to 8.4% | +/- 4.1% |
| ERA | 3.97 | 2.23 to 6.84 | +/- 2.31 |
| FIP | 3.80 | 2.06 to 5.26 | +/- 1.60 |
| WHIP | 1.355 | 1.017 to 1.688 | +/- 0.336 |
| xwOBA | 0.260 |
| K% | 14.7% |
| BB% | 10.7% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |
| xwOBA | 0.245 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |
