Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Oct 16 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / SEA · 2026

Taylor, Troy

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
25.1% K%
Range
14.3% to 32.2%
Live Δ
--
Team SEA Archetype Volatile contact Age 25 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-16
25
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal3 metrics
25
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-16
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-10-16
Fastball Stuff+102
47
Mithrandir Stuff+99
23
Slider Stuff+93
6
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2025Season 47%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Taylor, Troy · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 41%41%Zone: 37%37%Whiff: 36%36%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 20%20%Hard hit allowed: 27%27% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Troy · 2025 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 47.1%Sweeper: 37.5%Sinker: 14.0%Changeup: 1.5% FF47% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 47%ST 38%SI 14%CH 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Taylor, Troy · 2025 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 47% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 96.4 mphFF96 mphSweeper: 38% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 84.9 mphST85 mphSinker: 14% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 96.1 mphSI96 mphChangeup: 1% usage, 17″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 90.5 mphCH90 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 62.7% 32 102 limited sample
SL 37.3% 19 93 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 47%, Sweeper 38%, Sinker 14%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings33.5----
Batters Faced152----
K%25.1%14.3% to 32.2%+/- 9.0%
BB%8.0%2.9% to 12.1%+/- 4.6%
Whiff%26.2%13.7% to 29.2%+/- 7.8%
HR/91.370.03 to 2.34+/- 1.16
xwOBA Against0.3020.190 to 0.382+/- 0.096
Barrel% Allowed8.4%4.0% to 14.0%+/- 5.0%
ERA4.231.23 to 7.07+/- 2.92
FIP3.782.16 to 6.45+/- 2.15
WHIP1.1990.837 to 1.602+/- 0.382
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

61 career BF

xwOBA0.235
K%17.3%
BB%6.2%
Barrel9.7%
vs RHH

72 career BF

xwOBA0.228
K%18.2%
BB%4.8%
Barrel8.9%