Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / NYM · 2026

Pintaro, Jonathan

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
22.5% K%
Range
0.7% to 22.5%
Live Δ
yes
Team NYM Archetype Volatile contact Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
42
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
48
Arsenal6 metrics
21
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-08-31
ERA preseason4.31
ERA current pace4.05
ERA rolling p504.23
Observed weight29%
ERA
2.08 3.10 4.23 5.37 6.39
FIP
2.34 3.21 4.18 5.16 6.03
K%
11.1% 14.8% 19.0% 23.2% 27.0%
BB%
5.0% 7.2% 9.6% 12.0% 14.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.30
54
ERA4.05
50
BB%13.5%
9 -42 vs proj
K%25.0%
69 +16 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.332
30 -48 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.1%
56
Fastball velo95.4
65
Hard-hit allowed41.1%
31
Whiff%25.3%
69 +19 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-08-31
Changeup Stuff+101
43
Cutter Stuff+99
23
Fastball Stuff+93
8
Mithrandir Stuff+99
24
Sinker Stuff+95
12
Slider Stuff+96
14
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 54%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

7 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Pintaro, Jonathan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.332 2026-08-25: 0.3282026-08-26: 0.3282026-08-27: 0.3222026-08-28: 0.3222026-08-29: 0.3222026-08-30: 0.3242026-08-31: 0.332 2026-08-25 2026-08-31 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Pintaro, Jonathan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 41%41%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pintaro, Jonathan · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 53.7%Sinker: 20.7%4-Seam Fastball: 14.6%Changeup: 5.6%Curveball: 5.4% FC54% · 91 mphprimary pitch FC 54%SI 21%FF 15%CH 6%CU 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pintaro, Jonathan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Cutter: 54% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 91.1 mphFC91 mphSinker: 21% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 94.9 mphSI95 mph4-Seam Fastball: 15% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 96.0 mphFF96 mphChangeup: 6% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 87.7 mphCH88 mphCurveball: 5% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 47″ drop, 82.3 mphCU82 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 57.4% 128 99 limited sample
SI 19.3% 43 95 limited sample
FB 9.9% 22 93 limited sample
SL 7.2% 16 96 limited sample
CH 5.4% 12 101 limited sample
CB 0.9% 2 86 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Volume stays relief-shaped even when the bat-miss traits are strong.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: Cutter 72%, 4-Seam Fastball 21%, Changeup 7%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.19
K% Δ+0.024
Sample23.0 IP
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings36.4----
Batters Faced167----
K%22.5%0.7% to 22.5%+/- 10.9%
BB%8.9%0.7% to 12.9%+/- 6.1%
Whiff%22.9%2.3% to 26.1%+/- 11.9%
HR/91.250.00 to 1.67+/- 0.83
xwOBA Against0.2880.030 to 0.342+/- 0.156
Barrel% Allowed7.4%0.1% to 9.4%+/- 4.6%
ERA4.380.27 to 5.87+/- 2.80
FIP3.910.61 to 5.41+/- 2.40
WHIP1.2060.444 to 1.657+/- 0.606
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

4 career BF

xwOBA0.039
K%1.5%
BB%2.7%
Barrel0.1%
vs RHH

2 career BF

xwOBA0.037
K%1.7%
BB%2.0%
Barrel0.1%