Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.91 |
| ERA current pace | 2.24 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 2.96 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 29.9% | 297 | 104 | qualified |
| CH | 24.2% | 240 | 99 | qualified |
| SI | 16.1% | 160 | 102 | limited sample |
| CB | 11.4% | 113 | 103 | limited sample |
| FC | 9.4% | 93 | 96 | limited sample |
| SL | 9.0% | 89 | 100 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -1.53 |
| K% Δ | +0.046 |
| Sample | 78.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 65.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 278 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.7% | 18.6% to 29.2% | +/- 5.3% |
| BB% | 5.5% | 2.4% to 8.3% | +/- 2.9% |
| Whiff% | 24.5% | 20.7% to 29.4% | +/- 4.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.27 | 0.77 to 1.83 | +/- 0.53 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.312 | 0.258 to 0.342 | +/- 0.042 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.5% | 3.8% to 9.8% | +/- 3.0% |
| ERA | 3.77 | 2.32 to 5.08 | +/- 1.38 |
| FIP | 3.75 | 2.75 to 4.89 | +/- 1.07 |
| WHIP | 1.327 | 1.085 to 1.636 | +/- 0.275 |
| xwOBA | 0.214 |
| K% | 20.8% |
| BB% | 3.0% |
| Barrel | 4.5% |
| xwOBA | 0.236 |
| K% | 19.7% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 5.5% |
