Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 4.47 |
| ERA current pace | 3.89 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.19 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 37.7% | 280 | 106 | qualified |
| SI | 24.0% | 178 | 105 | limited sample |
| SL | 19.9% | 148 | 104 | limited sample |
| CH | 10.5% | 78 | 103 | limited sample |
| CB | 7.9% | 59 | 100 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.65 |
| K% Δ | +0.028 |
| Sample | 50.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 141.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 648 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.8% | 16.0% to 30.1% | +/- 7.0% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 6.4% to 11.5% | +/- 2.5% |
| Whiff% | 22.9% | 19.5% to 28.6% | +/- 4.5% |
| HR/9 | 1.27 | 0.82 to 2.37 | +/- 0.77 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.328 | 0.269 to 0.359 | +/- 0.045 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.5% | 4.3% to 12.7% | +/- 4.2% |
| ERA | 4.54 | 3.39 to 6.76 | +/- 1.69 |
| FIP | 4.33 | 3.16 to 5.33 | +/- 1.08 |
| WHIP | 1.351 | 1.099 to 1.698 | +/- 0.299 |
| xwOBA | 0.296 |
| K% | 17.0% |
| BB% | 9.5% |
| Barrel | 10.3% |
| xwOBA | 0.264 |
| K% | 20.4% |
| BB% | 7.3% |
| Barrel | 8.4% |
