Mithrandir Metrics
PHI National League East Refreshed Oct 20 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Philadelphia Phillies

87.7-74.3 with P10-P90 wins 78-98. 80.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
87.7-74.3
Live pace
88.0
Delta
+0.3
Record 88-74 Run diff 15 Generated 2026-10-20T11:50:28.634887+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason88.0
Current pace88.0
Rolling p5088.0
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
78.8 83.2 88.0 92.8 97.2
MOVE +0.0 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.39
October path

Projection odds

Division23.0%
Playoffs66.8%
Pennant11.1%
World Series5.6%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.274
Rotation FIP4.05
Bullpen FIP4.39
Run diff63.4
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-20.

SlotPlayerPAValue
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
García, AdolisHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Player 694025HitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Keller, BradPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day