Mithrandir Metrics
PHI National League East Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Philadelphia Phillies

87.7-74.3 with P10-P90 wins 78-98. 80.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
87.7-74.3
Live pace
82.4
Delta
-5.4
Record 30-29 Run diff -26 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason88.0
Current pace82.4
Rolling p5085.2
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
74.4 79.5 85.2 90.9 96.0
MOVE -2.8 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.39
October path

Projection odds

Division23.0%
Playoffs66.8%
Pennant11.1%
World Series5.6%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.274
Rotation FIP4.05
Bullpen FIP4.39
Run diff63.4
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CRealmuto, J.t.5362.22
1BHarper, Bryce5747.65
2BStott, Bryson5620.12
SSTurner, Trea6011.56
3BBohm, Alec5342.83
LFMarsh, Brandon4832.56
CFNone201-0.42
RFGarcía, Adolis5522.01
DHSchwarber, Kyle65813.07