Mithrandir Metrics
AZ 2026-09-01 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-09-01

Eduardo Rodriguez

AZ · SP · throws L · age 33
Projected starter Opp K 22.4% Neutral
MatchupAZ vs PHIopponent
Sample1466.667career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 50.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 50.3% Market -- Gap +4.6pp
FanDuel 106 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.22
70
ERA2.61
87
BB%7.9%
64
K%18.0%
20 -21 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.324
37
Barrel allowed7.8%
46
Fastball velo91.9
14
Hard-hit allowed33.9%
82
Whiff%18.9%
18 -15 vs proj
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Changeup Stuff+106
82
Cutter Stuff+104
70
Fastball Stuff+104
60
Mithrandir Stuff+103
58
Curveball Stuff+102
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+95
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range16.8% to 25.5%
Opponent K22.4%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)