Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-09-01 · saved artifact ROWS 19 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable

Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building

Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	Sean BurkeCWS	CWS vs HOUneutral	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	52.9%no-vig	+2.56%	3.89count	35.1%ladder	21.5%ladder	12.1%ladder	20.3%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 100 avg 1 books
02	Kyle BradishBAL	BAL vs COLhitter-friendly	P 67.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5	67.0%Over prob · Palantir	51.0%no-vig	+2.66%	5.98count	67.0%ladder	52.7%ladder	39.0%ladder	26.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -118 avg 1 books
03	Freddy PeraltaTB	TB vs NYMneutral	P 67.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	67.4%Over prob · Palantir	52.9%no-vig	+10.63%	6.01count	67.4%ladder	53.1%ladder	39.4%ladder	21.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -128 avg 1 books
04	Nick LodoloCIN	CIN vs SDhitter-friendly	P 57.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	57.5%Over prob · Palantir	44.9%no-vig	+7.75%	5.26count	57.5%ladder	42.2%ladder	29.0%ladder	19.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
05	Michael McGreevySTL	STL vs LADneutral	P 37.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	62.3%Under prob · Palantir	53.0%no-vig	+12.32%	3.12count	21.8%ladder	11.4%ladder	5.5%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings 101 avg 1 books
06	Gavin WilliamsCLE	CLE vs TORneutral	P 33.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	66.5%Under prob · Palantir	57.5%no-vig	+3.01%	5.58count	62.0%ladder	47.0%ladder	33.5%ladder	19.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 122 avg 1 books
07	Aj Smith-ShawverATL	ATL vs WSHneutral	P 34.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	65.1%Under prob · Palantir	56.7%no-vig	+2.38%	3.88count	34.9%ladder	21.3%ladder	12.0%ladder	20.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 118 avg 1 books
08	Ronel BlancoHOU	HOU vs CWSneutral	P 56.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5	56.0%Over prob · Palantir	48.9%no-vig	+9.26%	5.16count	56.0%ladder	40.7%ladder	27.7%ladder	23.4%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -108 avg 1 books
09	Jesús LuzardoPHI	PHI vs AZneutral	P 51.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 2 of 2	48.7%Under prob · Palantir	56.7%no-vig	+1.27%	5.88count	65.8%ladder	51.3%ladder	37.6%ladder	20.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -142 avg 1 books
10	Logan WebbSF	SF vs PITneutral	P 63.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 5	63.0%Over prob · Palantir	57.5%no-vig	+1.85%	5.66count	63.0%ladder	48.1%ladder	34.5%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -156 avg 1 books
11	Eduardo RodriguezAZ	AZ vs PHIneutral	P 50.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5	50.3%Over prob · Palantir	45.7%no-vig	+0.33%	4.79count	50.3%ladder	35.1%ladder	22.8%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 106 avg 1 books
12	MacKenzie GoreTEX	TEX vs ATHhitter-friendly	P 42.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5	57.2%Under prob · Palantir	53.3%no-vig	+7.23%	6.26count	70.3%ladder	56.4%ladder	42.8%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings 102 avg 1 books
13	Matthew BoydCHC	CHC vs MILneutral	P 51.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	51.9%Over prob · Palantir	48.1%no-vig	+1.91%	4.89count	51.9%ladder	36.6%ladder	24.1%ladder	22.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -104 avg 1 books
14	Paul SkenesPIT	PIT vs SFneutral	P 39.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	60.2%Under prob · Palantir	56.7%no-vig	+10.22%	6.04count	67.8%ladder	53.5%ladder	39.8%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 118 avg 1 books
15	Eric LauerLAD	LAD vs STLneutral	P 60.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5	60.8%Over prob · Palantir	58.2%no-vig	+6.41%	4.38count	43.6%ladder	28.8%ladder	17.6%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -160 avg 1 books
16	Sean ManaeaNYM	NYM vs TBneutral	P 52.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	52.2%Over prob · Palantir	49.6%no-vig	+2.22%	4.91count	52.2%ladder	36.9%ladder	24.3%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -111 avg 1 books
17	Randy VásquezSD	SD vs CINhitter-friendly	P 41.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	58.3%Under prob · Palantir	55.8%no-vig	+8.28%	3.32count	25.2%ladder	13.8%ladder	6.9%ladder	23.9%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings 113 avg 1 books
18	Jake IrvinWSH	WSH vs ATLneutral	P 41.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	58.6%Under prob · Palantir	57.2%no-vig	+8.63%	4.25count	41.4%ladder	26.8%ladder	16.1%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
19	Bryan WooSEA	SEA vs BOSneutral	P 40.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	59.4%Under prob · Palantir	58.9%no-vig	+9.41%	5.15count	55.9%ladder	40.6%ladder	27.6%ladder	23.5%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 130 avg 1 books