Mithrandir Metrics
CHC 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-17

Colin Rea

CHC · SP · throws R · age 36
Projected starter Opp K 23.2% Neutral
MatchupCHC vs MINopponent
Sample700.667career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 16 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts3.5
P 61.9
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 61.9% Market -- Gap +8.0pp
DraftKings -133 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.47
23
ERA4.75
31
BB%8.9%
46 -31 vs proj
K%17.3%
15
xwOBA allowed0.363
9
Barrel allowed9.8%
22
Fastball velo93.5
35
Hard-hit allowed40.0%
43
Whiff%18.5%
14
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Fastball Stuff+98
23
Mithrandir Stuff+101
41
Slider Stuff+104
58
Changeup Stuff+106
Small sample
Curveball Stuff+100
Small sample
Cutter Stuff+101
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+95
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range14.1% to 24.1%
Opponent K23.2%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)