Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-07-17 · saved artifact ROWS 14 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-07-17

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	Cade CavalliWSH	WSH vs ATHneutral	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	73.8%Under prob · Palantir	44.9%no-vig	+7.09%	3.38count	26.2%ladder	14.5%ladder	7.4%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -140 avg 1 books
02	Bryce MillerSEA	SEA vs SFpitcher-friendly	P 32.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5	67.7%Under prob · Palantir	44.6%no-vig	+2.58%	4.61count	47.4%ladder	32.3%ladder	20.4%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -142 avg 1 books
03	Gavin WilliamsCLE	CLE vs PITneutral	P 35.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	65.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.5%no-vig	+1.42%	5.69count	63.4%ladder	48.6%ladder	35.0%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -156 avg 1 books
04	Landen RouppSF	SF vs SEApitcher-friendly	P 29.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5	70.6%Under prob · Palantir	48.1%no-vig	+5.74%	4.42count	44.3%ladder	29.4%ladder	18.1%ladder	25.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -122 avg 1 books
05	Merrill KellyAZ	AZ vs STLneutral	P 66.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5	66.2%Over prob · Palantir	53.1%no-vig	+0.47%	4.74count	49.5%ladder	34.3%ladder	22.1%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -129 avg 1 books
06	Seth LugoKC	KC vs SDneutral	P 53.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5	53.5%Over prob · Palantir	40.6%no-vig	+3.46%	4.99count	53.5%ladder	38.1%ladder	25.4%ladder	19.1%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings 132 avg 1 books
07	Michael KingSD	SD vs KCneutral	P 53.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5	53.0%Over prob · Palantir	44.1%no-vig	+3.00%	4.96count	53.0%ladder	37.7%ladder	25.0%ladder	19.9%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings 114 avg 1 books
08	Chris SaleATL	ATL vs TEXneutral	P 37.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 7.5 4 of 4	62.9%Under prob · Palantir	54.7%no-vig	+0.51%	6.77count	75.5%ladder	62.7%ladder	49.5%ladder	21.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 108 avg 1 books
09	Colin ReaCHC	CHC vs MINneutral	P 61.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5	61.9%Over prob · Palantir	53.9%no-vig	+5.23%	4.45count	44.8%ladder	29.8%ladder	18.5%ladder	23.2%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -133 avg 1 books
10	Bailey OberMIN	MIN vs CHCneutral	P 42.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	57.1%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+7.09%	4.34count	42.9%ladder	28.1%ladder	17.1%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
11	Sandy AlcantaraMIA	MIA vs MILhitter-friendly	P 50.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	50.0%Under prob · Palantir	44.9%no-vig	+0.01%	4.77count	50.0%ladder	34.8%ladder	22.5%ladder	22.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -140 avg 1 books
12	Dean KremerBAL	BAL vs HOUneutral	P 46.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	53.7%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+3.73%	4.54count	46.3%ladder	31.2%ladder	19.6%ladder	20.3%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
13	Cal QuantrillTEX	TEX vs ATLneutral	P 37.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 2	62.9%Under prob · Palantir	59.7%no-vig	+12.93%	3.09count	21.3%ladder	11.1%ladder	5.3%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 134 avg 1 books
14	Brady SingerCIN	CIN vs COLhitter-friendly	P 43.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	56.1%Under prob · Palantir	55.8%no-vig	+6.08%	4.40count	43.9%ladder	29.1%ladder	17.8%ladder	26.1%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings 113 avg 1 books