Mithrandir Metrics
SF 2026-09-01 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-09-01

Logan Webb

SF · SP · throws R · age 30
Projected starter Opp K 24.1% Neutral
MatchupSF vs PITopponent
Sample1210.0career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 63.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 63.0% Market -- Gap +5.5pp
FanDuel -156 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs18.5
P 50.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 50.0% Market 42.7% Gap +10.3pp
FanDuel 134 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.20
73
ERA3.75
58
BB%5.9%
90
K%19.4%
31
xwOBA allowed0.306
59 +26 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.2%
70 +32 vs proj
Fastball velo92.1
15
Hard-hit allowed38.8%
47
Whiff%18.5%
16
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Changeup Stuff+106
83
Mithrandir Stuff+103
60
Sinker Stuff+102
52
Slider Stuff+104
70
Cutter Stuff+100
Small sample
Fastball Stuff+96
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range18.9% to 29.5%
Opponent K24.1%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)