Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-18

Davis Martin

CWS · SP · throws R · age 29
Projected starter Opp K 19.4% Neutral
MatchupCWS vs TORopponent
Sample356.333career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 16 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts3.5
P 52.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 52.7% Market -- Gap +1.0pp
FanDuel -132 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs16.5
P 48.5
F 46.1 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 48.5% Market 54.9% Gap +2.9pp
FanDuel -122 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.30
54
ERA3.41
67
BB%8.0%
61
K%21.7%
45 +28 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.323
41 +20 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.7%
65 +29 vs proj
Fastball velo93.6
36
Hard-hit allowed44.8%
13
Whiff%23.6%
55 +25 vs proj
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Fastball Stuff+102
49
Mithrandir Stuff+104
67
Changeup Stuff+106
Small sample
Curveball Stuff+103
Small sample
Cutter Stuff+105
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+107
Small sample
Slider Stuff+98
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range14.9% to 24.1%
Opponent K19.4%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)