Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-18

Gavin Williams

CLE · SP · throws R · age 27

Projected starter Opp K 24.1% Hitter-Friendly

MatchupCLE vs PITopponent

Sample439.0career MLB IP

PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows

Tonight's pitcher props

Strikeouts7.5

P 23.2

F -- in progress

V -- in progress

INSUFFICIENT LANES

Model 23.2% Market -- Gap +19.4pp

FanDuel 122 tracking Open board

Pitcher Outs17.5

P 49.6

F 47.8 EXPERIMENTAL

V -- in progress

PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes

Model 49.6% Market 58.0% Gap +4.6pp

FanDuel -138 tracking Open board

Win Probability--

Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB

Pitching · percentile strip

WHIP1.19

ERA3.81

BB%7.6%

66 +33 vs proj

K%28.7%

87 +21 vs proj

xwOBA allowed0.324

Barrel allowed11.4%

9 -38 vs proj

Fastball velo96.8

Hard-hit allowed47.6%

Whiff%28.1%

85 +20 vs proj

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Curveball Stuff+103

Fastball Stuff+104

Mithrandir Stuff+105

Sinker Stuff+109

Slider Stuff+102

Cutter Stuff+106

Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts

Projected range20.0% to 29.8%

Opponent K24.1%

Expected BF0.00

EnvironmentHitter-Friendly

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-18

Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling

Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)