Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-07-18 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-18

Taj Bradley

MIN · SP · throws R · age 25
Projected starter Opp K 21.6% Neutral
MatchupMIN vs CHCopponent
Sample488.0career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 13 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts5.5
P 40.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 40.3% Market -- Gap +16.9pp
FanDuel -154 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs16.5
P 47.1
F 46.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 47.1% Market 56.9% Gap +5.9pp
FanDuel -132 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.22
67
ERA3.59
59
BB%9.4%
40 -18 vs proj
K%27.4%
80 +29 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.304
61 +24 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.6%
23 -16 vs proj
Fastball velo96.9
86
Hard-hit allowed45.4%
11
Whiff%24.0%
57
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Cutter Stuff+95
5
Fastball Stuff+110
95
Mithrandir Stuff+104
70
Curveball Stuff+99
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range19.0% to 29.1%
Opponent K21.6%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-18
Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling
Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)