Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-17

Cade Cavalli

WSH · SP · throws R · age 28
Projected starter Opp K 24.1% Neutral
MatchupWSH vs ATHopponent
Sample151.667career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 26.2
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 26.2% Market -- Gap +28.9pp
DraftKings -140 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.34
46
ERA3.83
54
BB%7.1%
74
K%24.5%
64 +38 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.316
48
Barrel allowed7.1%
59
Fastball velo96.5
80
Hard-hit allowed39.7%
45
Whiff%22.0%
42
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Curveball Stuff+102
51
Fastball Stuff+103
55
Mithrandir Stuff+102
51
Sinker Stuff+103
60
Changeup Stuff+104
Small sample
Slider Stuff+98
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range13.4% to 25.0%
Opponent K24.1%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)