Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-18

Max Meyer

MIA · SP · throws R · age 27

Projected starter Opp K 22.1% Pitcher-Friendly

MatchupMIA vs MILopponent

Sample235.667career MLB IP

PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 14 rows

Tonight's pitcher props

Strikeouts5.5

P 33.1

F -- in progress

V -- in progress

INSUFFICIENT LANES

Model 33.1% Market -- Gap +18.0pp

FanDuel -118 tracking Open board

Pitcher Outs16.5

P 46.7

F 45.5 EXPERIMENTAL

V -- in progress

PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes

Model 46.7% Market 48.5% Gap +1.5pp

FanDuel 106 tracking Open board

Win Probability--

Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB

Pitching · percentile strip

WHIP1.13

ERA2.58

BB%8.5%

54 -18 vs proj

K%25.8%

73 +27 vs proj

xwOBA allowed0.302

64 +20 vs proj

Barrel allowed8.5%

Fastball velo94.6

Hard-hit allowed42.0%

Whiff%26.5%

75 +18 vs proj

Mithrandir+ · percentile strip

Fastball Stuff+105

Mithrandir Stuff+106

Slider Stuff+105

Changeup Stuff+105

Small sample

Sinker Stuff+106

Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts

Projected range17.2% to 27.7%

Opponent K22.1%

Expected BF0.00

EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly

Lane calibration receipts

Lane Health 2026-07-18

Palantir 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d error falling

Fangorn 9540 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.011 14d stable

Valinor 3945 props Brier 0.119 ECE 0.005 14d error falling

Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building

Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)