Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-09-01 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-09-01

Sean Burke

CWS · SP · throws R · age 27
Projected starter Opp K 20.3% Neutral
MatchupCWS vs HOUopponent
Sample302.333career MLB IP
PROPS 1 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 16 rows
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts5.5
P 21.5
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 21.5% Market -- Gap +25.6pp
FanDuel 100 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs--
Pitcher Outs · tracking

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.16
78
ERA3.27
74
BB%8.2%
59
K%26.0%
77
xwOBA allowed0.298
68
Barrel allowed8.2%
39
Fastball velo94.8
54
Hard-hit allowed38.1%
53
Whiff%22.8%
49
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Curveball Stuff+103
65
Fastball Stuff+110
95
Mithrandir Stuff+107
92
Sinker Stuff+103
59
Slider Stuff+106
79
Changeup Stuff+105
Small sample
Cutter Stuff+106
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range18.0% to 29.8%
Opponent K20.3%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)