Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	552	72	120	26	2	.251	.335	.468	.803
2025	640	72	139	27	2	.238	.297	.421	.718
2026	552	64	112	24	0	.226	.301	.425	.726
12 Seasons	4462	563	971	198	27	.245	.322	.452	.774

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-03

54

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

54

Defense2 metrics

73

Speed2 metrics

28

Plate skills10 metrics

45

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-03

xwOBA preseason	0.329
xwOBA current pace	0.300
xwOBA rolling p50	0.308
Observed weight	72%

xwOBA

0.286 0.296 0.308 0.320 0.330

wOBA

0.309 0.321 0.334 0.348 0.360

ISO

0.176 0.187 0.199 0.212 0.223

K%

22.1% 23.1% 24.2% 25.3% 26.3%

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-03

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%6.0%

68

Exit velocity88.9

62

Hard-hit%40.4%

59 -21 vs proj

xBA0.305

34

xSLG0.520

57

xwOBA0.300

45 -32 vs proj

BB%7.8%

40

Bat speed72.1

80

K%23.9%

45

Defense · percentile strip

Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B

79

Range Runs1.3 · 1B

68

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs-0.1 · 1B

40

Sprint Speed25.9 · 1B

15

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-03

Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research

45

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.0% · rebadged research

79

Correct Decisions67.1% · rebadged research

60

Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated

27

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103

60

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.314 · borderline

13

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample

92

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample

25

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.351 · insufficient sample

12

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated

36

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Christian Walker's production (73) outpaces the tools grade (69) by 4 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Also flagged: Power Efficiency Gap. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Launch Angle Too Low

+11.0° Current 5° → Target 16°

Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

257 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.4σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.334

xwOBA (deserved)0.300

Walker’s wOBA sits at 0.334, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.300 — a gap of 0.034, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 566 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Machado, Manny SD · R	0.78	Fly-ball rateIn-zone contact	Player · Projection
Springer, George TOR · R	0.73	Swing lengthPull rate	Player · Projection
Burger, Jake TEX · R	0.73	Walk rateFly-ball rate	Player · Projection
Bell, Josh MIN · L	0.72	Fly-ball rateHard-hit rate	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
Hitting	4	2026-08-27	Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding	19	2026-09-01	1 chances \| 0 difficult plays \| Run Exp -0.095

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.330 xwOBA \| 25 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 vs SEA0 HR \| 1 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| 2 K, RBI
2026-05-20 @ MIN0 HR \| 0 RBI / 8 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| 2 K
2026-04-20 @ CLE1 HR \| 2 RBI / 9 Ch \| 0 E	3-5 \| HR, 2B, K
2026-04-17 vs STL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 9 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| 2 K
2026-04-15 vs COL0 HR \| 1 RBI / 7 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| BB, RBI

Age	35
Height	5' 11"
Weight	208 lb
Debut	2014-09-17

xwOBA Δ	-0.030
wOBA Δ	+0.005

Hitter Projections 20260.330 xwOBA \| 25 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 vs SEA0 HR \| 1 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| 2 K, RBI
2026-05-20 @ MIN0 HR \| 0 RBI / 8 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| 2 K
2026-04-20 @ CLE1 HR \| 2 RBI / 9 Ch \| 0 E	3-5 \| HR, 2B, K
2026-04-17 vs STL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 9 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| 2 K
2026-04-15 vs COL0 HR \| 1 RBI / 7 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| BB, RBI

Christian Walker

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Swing path and decision map

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail