Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 22 |
| Height | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 195 lb |
| Debut | 2025-05-13 |
Player profile / Iowa Cubs
Moisés Ballesteros
DH · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 8", 195 lb · Age 22
Club Iowa Cubs
Position DH
Roster profile
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 66 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 0 | .298 | .394 | .474 | .868 |
| 2026 | 175 | 16 | 36 | 6 | 1 | .231 | .303 | .385 | .688 |
| 2 Seasons | 241 | 28 | 53 | 8 | 1 | .249 | .328 | .408 | .736 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.280 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.310 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.294 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
xwOBA
0.264
0.278
0.294
0.310
0.324
wOBA
0.327
0.348
0.372
0.395
0.416
ISO
0.146
0.163
0.183
0.203
0.220
K%
15.4%
17.5%
19.8%
22.2%
24.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.8%
84
+39 vs proj
Exit velocity90.3
79
Hard-hit%47.4%
84
+48 vs proj
xBA0.310
37
xSLG0.501
46
xwOBA0.310
53
BB%10.4%
71
Bat speed70.8
69
K%20.2%
64
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing0.1 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs-0.5 · C
Small sample
Pop Time1.9 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.6 · DH
3
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.9% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.4% · rebadged research
94
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
62
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
75
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.302 · validated thin sample
11
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.379 · insufficient sample
2
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
81
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
65
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
73
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
116 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.063 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Ballesteros’s wOBA sits at 0.372, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.310 — a gap of 0.062, -1.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 193 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-05-24 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.309 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |