Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Francisco Giants Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Francisco Giants

Willy Adames

SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 216 lb · Age 30

Cards
21
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club San Francisco Giants Position SS Roster Current MLB team Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024688931533221.251.331.462.793
2025686941333012.225.318.421.739
202650562107215.230.289.424.713
9 Seasons4801623104020168.243.318.438.756
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
53
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
49
Defense4 metrics
32
Speed3 metrics
30
Plate skills10 metrics
43
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
64
Exit velocity87.5
46
Hard-hit%39.0%
52
xBA0.317
47
xSLG0.559
68
xwOBA0.296
40
BB%7.4%
35
Bat speed70.6
66
K%27.7%
25
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
71
Arm Strength88.2 · SS
58
Outs Above Avg-17.0 · SS
1
Range Runs-12.8 · SS
1
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.3 · SS
10
SB Success Rate66.7% · SS
20
Sprint Speed27.8 · SS
60
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-08-31
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.0% · rebadged research
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.9% · rebadged research
54
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
82
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
41
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
40
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
20
Resists FastballwOBA 0.364 · validated
14
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378 · validated
12
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Adames, Willy · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.304 0.296 2026-08-20: 0.2892026-08-21: 0.2892026-08-22: 0.2892026-08-23: 0.2892026-08-24: 0.2892026-08-25: 0.2962026-08-26: 0.2962026-08-27: 0.2962026-08-28: 0.2962026-08-29: 0.2962026-08-30: 0.2962026-08-31: 0.296 2026-08-20 2026-08-31 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

215 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Adames, Willy · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 25% of plotted batted ballsPull 25%Center field third: 63% of plotted batted ballsCenter 63%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 339 CF 399 RF 309 2026-03-15 · sac fly · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 35.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 2.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 89.3 / LA 20.02026-03-20 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 27.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -9.02026-03-21 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 27.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 89.3 / LA 25.02026-03-25 · field error · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA -3.02026-03-25 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 15.02026-03-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 30.02026-03-28 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 13.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 96.8 / LA 62.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · popup · EV 89.3 / LA 64.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -12.02026-03-30 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 23.02026-03-30 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 8.02026-03-31 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 82.9 / LA 19.02026-03-31 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 5.02026-03-31 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -6.02026-03-31 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 7.02026-03-31 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 33.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 26.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 31.02026-04-02 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA -3.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 51.7 / LA -3.02026-04-03 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 21.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 17.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.0 / LA -53.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 38.02026-04-05 · field out · FO · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 35.02026-04-05 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 60.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · popup · EV 78.5 / LA 61.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 25.02026-04-06 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 85.0 / LA 14.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 38.02026-04-06 · double · FS · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 23.02026-04-07 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 29.02026-04-07 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 29.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -15.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · popup · EV 77.6 / LA 57.02026-04-08 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 70.6 / LA 50.02026-04-08 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 20.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · popup · EV 65.3 / LA 65.02026-04-08 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 68.8 / LA 24.02026-04-10 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 29.02026-04-10 · double · KC · line_drive · EV 105.7 / LA 14.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.2 / LA 2.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · popup · EV 82.4 / LA 65.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · popup · EV 75.2 / LA 67.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.0 / LA 71.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 33.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 32.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 40.02026-04-12 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 11.02026-04-14 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -11.02026-04-14 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 35.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 65.8 / LA -4.02026-04-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 79.9 / LA 18.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA -10.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -4.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.0 / LA 24.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.8 / LA 62.02026-04-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 89.2 / LA 16.02026-04-17 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.4 / LA 18.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 4.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 79.8 / LA 47.02026-04-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 6.02026-04-18 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA -1.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.5 / LA 2.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 30.02026-04-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 6.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · popup · EV 76.4 / LA 75.02026-04-22 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 74.9 / LA 13.02026-04-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 39.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · popup · EV 90.8 / LA 83.02026-04-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.5 / LA -18.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.6 / LA -1.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 54.6 / LA 13.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 35.02026-04-25 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 35.02026-04-25 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 58.6 / LA 3.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA -11.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.6 / LA -2.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.7 / LA 35.02026-04-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 18.02026-04-30 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 40.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 1.02026-04-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -1.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 71.4 / LA 49.02026-05-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 16.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -11.02026-05-02 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 11.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 30.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -9.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 2.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 48.02026-05-03 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 7.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 51.0 / LA 36.02026-05-04 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 69.8 / LA 6.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 20.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 48.7 / LA 29.02026-05-05 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 75.5 / LA 15.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 14.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 51.02026-05-08 · field out · FS · popup · EV 82.5 / LA 65.02026-05-08 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 32.02026-05-08 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 6.02026-05-08 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.8 / LA 16.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 34.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -19.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.2 / LA 71.02026-05-10 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 57.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 41.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.4 / LA -15.02026-05-10 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA -20.02026-05-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 14.02026-05-11 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 74.1 / LA 16.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 30.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 29.02026-05-11 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 5.02026-05-12 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA 1.02026-05-12 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 29.02026-05-12 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 9.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 1.02026-05-13 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 96.5 / LA 12.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.8 / LA 85.02026-05-15 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 86.3 / LA 18.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · popup · EV 87.8 / LA 83.02026-05-15 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -2.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 56.02026-05-16 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 92.4 / LA 24.02026-05-16 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 84.8 / LA 15.02026-05-16 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 19.02026-05-16 · field error · ST · ground_ball · EV 71.2 / LA -36.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 27.02026-05-17 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -9.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 39.02026-05-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 6.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.1 / LA 13.02026-05-18 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 38.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.3 / LA -12.02026-05-19 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 26.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 19.02026-05-20 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 2.02026-05-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -2.02026-05-22 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 1.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 48.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 59.3 / LA 24.02026-05-23 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 5.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 45.02026-05-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 30.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 52.02026-05-24 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 23.02026-05-24 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 65.5 / LA -6.02026-05-25 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 49.02026-05-25 · field out · FC · popup · EV 71.4 / LA 61.02026-05-25 · field out · CU · popup · EV 71.0 / LA 73.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 11.02026-05-26 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 22.02026-05-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 33.02026-05-27 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 58.02026-05-27 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 108.1 / LA 14.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 62.02026-05-31 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -3.02026-05-31 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.8 / LA 24.02026-05-31 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -12.02026-05-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 14.02026-06-01 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 7.02026-06-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 59.9 / LA -39.02026-06-04 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 8.02026-06-04 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 9.02026-06-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 72.6 / LA 37.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 39.02026-06-04 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 28.02026-06-05 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 40.02026-06-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 29.02026-06-07 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA 7.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA 11.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 58.4 / LA 22.02026-06-20 · field out · ST · popup · EV 70.3 / LA 59.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 33.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · popup · EV 81.1 / LA 64.02026-06-26 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 24.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · popup · EV 80.8 / LA 69.02026-06-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 59.6 / LA 30.02026-07-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 47.02026-07-27 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 8.02026-07-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 7.02026-07-31 · field out · SI · popup · EV 54.5 / LA 60.02026-07-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 57.3 / LA -43.02026-08-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.8 / LA 47.02026-08-02 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 9.02026-08-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 43.02026-08-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.7 / LA 1.02026-08-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 9.02026-08-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 32.02026-08-07 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -15.02026-08-07 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 43.02026-08-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 10.02026-08-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 63.5 / LA 43.02026-08-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -5.02026-08-11 · field out · SI · popup · EV 48.3 / LA 56.02026-08-11 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA -24.02026-08-11 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 47.7 / LA -66.02026-08-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 16.02026-08-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 88.1 / LA 17.02026-08-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 70.7 / LA 78.02026-08-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 13.02026-08-21 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 99.2 / LA 20.02026-08-21 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 80.8 / LA 39.02026-08-21 · field out · ST · popup · EV 83.1 / LA 68.02026-08-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 15.02026-08-22 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 109.4 / LA 27.02026-08-23 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 92.3 / LA 19.02026-08-23 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 26.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Adames, Willy · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 27%27%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 73%73%Hard hit: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Adames, Willy · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 72.6 mph Hard swing rate 27% Whiff / swing 22% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 0"
Weight216 lb
Debut2018-05-22
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.325
xwOBA (deserved)0.296

Adames’s wOBA sits at 0.325, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.296 — a gap of 0.029, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 517 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Lewis, Royce MIN · R 0.75 Sprint speedOppo rate Player · Projection
Abrams, CJ WSH · L 0.68 Bat speedBarrel rate Player · Projection
Torkelson, Spencer DET · R 0.66 Ground-ball rateIn-zone contact Player · Projection
Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R 0.66 Pull rateBarrel rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting42026-08-22Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding172026-08-231 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.148
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-05-20 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-17 @ WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2B, 2 R
2026-04-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 4 K
2026-04-14 @ CIN1 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, K, RBI
2026-04-12 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2B