Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 204 lb |
| Debut | 2026-06-09 |
Player profile / Colorado Rockies
Cole Carrigg
CF · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 2", 204 lb · Age 24
Club Colorado Rockies
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 372 | 50 | 93 | 12 | 11 | .279 | .341 | .477 | .818 |
| 1 Seasons | 372 | 50 | 93 | 12 | 11 | .279 | .341 | .477 | .818 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
58
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.268 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.316 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.256
0.276
0.298
0.321
0.341
wOBA
0.334
0.349
0.365
0.382
0.397
ISO
0.131
0.148
0.168
0.187
0.205
K%
17.6%
20.1%
22.9%
25.7%
28.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
49
Exit velocity87.2
43
Hard-hit%38.2%
50
xBA0.341
75
xSLG0.556
67
xwOBA0.316
65
+30 vs proj
BB%7.6%
40
Bat speed70.5
65
K%23.7%
47
+18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.3 · CF
81
Arm Strength101.2 · CF
96
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Range Runs-2.1 · CF
27
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.0 · CF
79
Bolts7.0 · CF
53
SB Success Rate76.9% · CF
39
Sprint Speed28.7 · CF
84
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.0% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions65.3% · rebadged research
40
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
73
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.299 · insufficient sample
11
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.297 · validated thin sample
18
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.372 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.337 · validated
86
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
120 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.025 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.075 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Carrigg’s wOBA sits at 0.365, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.316 — a gap of 0.050, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 380 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peña, Jeremy HOU · R | 0.78 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.77 | Strikeout rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Adames, Willy SF · R | 0.73 | Bat speedPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Dingler, Dillon DET · R | 0.71 | Bat speedFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 27 | 2026-09-25 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.233 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 @ SF0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |