Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 191 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-08 |
Player profile / Washington Nationals
Cj Abrams
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 191 lb · Age 25
Club Washington Nationals
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 602 | 79 | 133 | 20 | 31 | .246 | .314 | .433 | .747 |
| 2025 | 635 | 92 | 149 | 19 | 31 | .257 | .315 | .433 | .748 |
| 2026 | 565 | 81 | 133 | 29 | 26 | .267 | .343 | .506 | .849 |
| 5 Seasons | 2718 | 368 | 623 | 88 | 142 | .253 | .314 | .430 | .744 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.322 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.330 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.328 |
| Observed weight | 73% |
xwOBA
0.308
0.317
0.328
0.339
0.348
wOBA
0.360
0.372
0.385
0.399
0.411
ISO
0.201
0.211
0.223
0.235
0.245
K%
20.7%
21.7%
22.9%
24.0%
25.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.1%
69
Exit velocity89.5
70
Hard-hit%41.1%
62
xBA0.339
73
xSLG0.589
77
xwOBA0.330
77
BB%8.5%
52
+24 vs proj
Bat speed70.9
70
K%23.7%
45
-22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength90.1 · SS
73
Outs Above Avg-17.0 · SS
1
Range Runs-12.5 · SS
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.3 · SS
91
Bolts11.0 · SS
67
SB Success Rate87.5% · SS
74
Sprint Speed28.5 · SS
81
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.2% · rebadged research
34
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3% · rebadged research
69
Correct Decisions65.3% · rebadged research
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.321 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.309 · insufficient sample
4
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
38
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.385 · insufficient sample
1
Resists FastballwOBA 0.394 · validated
3
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338 · validated
87
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
251 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.060 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Abrams’s wOBA sits at 0.385, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.330 — a gap of 0.055, -2.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 586 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill, Jackson SD · L | 0.76 | Max exit velocityOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Peña, Jeremy HOU · R | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Castro, Willi COL · L | 0.68 | Walk rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Adames, Willy SF · R | 0.68 | Bat speedBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-07-31 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 12 | 2026-08-28 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -1.009 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.326 xwOBA | 18 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-05-20 vs NYM1 HR | 3 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 3 RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 1 E | 0-2 | BB, HBP, K |
| 2026-04-17 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | 2B, BB, 2 HBP |