Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 235 lb |
| Debut | 2017-07-25 |
Player profile / San Francisco Giants
Rafael Devers
1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 235 lb · Age 29
Club San Francisco Giants
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 601 | 87 | 143 | 28 | 3 | .272 | .354 | .516 | .870 |
| 2025 | 729 | 99 | 153 | 35 | 1 | .252 | .372 | .479 | .851 |
| 2026 | 299 | 33 | 63 | 9 | 0 | .230 | .288 | .409 | .697 |
| 10 Seasons | 5243 | 748 | 1278 | 244 | 33 | .273 | .345 | .501 | .846 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
68
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.354 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.292 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.318 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.291
0.304
0.318
0.333
0.346
wOBA
0.284
0.300
0.318
0.336
0.352
ISO
0.161
0.179
0.199
0.219
0.238
K%
25.2%
26.5%
28.0%
29.5%
30.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.6%
69
-19 vs proj
Exit velocity91.8
90
Hard-hit%50.3%
91
xBA0.325
52
xSLG0.604
75
xwOBA0.292
33
-53 vs proj
BB%7.3%
33
-50 vs proj
Bat speed70.4
63
K%30.4%
12
-24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
11
Range Runs-1.4 · 1B
28
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.1 · 1B
14
Sprint Speed25.9 · 1B
18
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.2% · rebadged research
43
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
51
Correct Decisions67.3% · rebadged research
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
44
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
42
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.255 · validated thin sample
94
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.378 · insufficient sample
1
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315 · validated
89
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
23
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
167 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.072 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.046 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Devers’s wOBA sits at 0.318, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.292 — a gap of 0.026, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 303 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-05-25 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.364 xwOBA | 29 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B |
| 2026-04-17 @ WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | K, R |
| 2026-04-14 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-12 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 1 E | 1-4 | 3 K |