Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 34 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2014-09-01 |
Player profile / Texas Rangers
Joc Pederson
DH · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 1", 220 lb · Age 34
Club Texas Rangers
Position DH
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 449 | 62 | 101 | 23 | 7 | .275 | .393 | .515 | .908 |
| 2025 | 306 | 28 | 48 | 9 | 2 | .181 | .285 | .328 | .613 |
| 2026 | 408 | 54 | 83 | 24 | 2 | .235 | .329 | .482 | .811 |
| 13 Seasons | 5019 | 660 | 1018 | 242 | 33 | .236 | .337 | .461 | .798 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
84
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.341 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.343 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.342 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.316
0.328
0.342
0.356
0.368
wOBA
0.336
0.350
0.366
0.381
0.396
ISO
0.193
0.206
0.221
0.236
0.249
K%
21.3%
22.5%
24.0%
25.4%
26.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
80
Exit velocity92.1
94
Hard-hit%51.9%
96
xBA0.334
68
xSLG0.610
82
xwOBA0.343
86
BB%11.1%
79
Bat speed70.1
56
K%24.5%
40
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
27
Arm Runs-0.1 · 1B
Small sample
Range Runs-1.0 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · DH
5
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
58
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
59
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.332 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
83
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.241 · validated thin sample
99
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.397 · insufficient sample
0
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
36
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
164 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.024 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Pederson’s wOBA sits at 0.366, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.343 — a gap of 0.023, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 425 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Devers, Rafael SF · L | 0.84 | Sweet-spot rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Olson, Matt ATL · L | 0.70 | Strikeout rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Machado, Manny SD · R | 0.65 | Chase rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Eldridge, Bryce SF · L | 0.65 | Barrel rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-07-31 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 4 | 2026-08-19 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.240 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.342 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | R |
| 2026-04-17 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |