Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 6' 4" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2016-09-12 |
Player profile / Atlanta Braves
Matt Olson
1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 4", 225 lb · Age 32
Club Atlanta Braves
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 685 | 78 | 148 | 29 | 0 | .247 | .333 | .457 | .790 |
| 2025 | 724 | 98 | 170 | 29 | 1 | .272 | .366 | .484 | .850 |
| 2026 | 604 | 94 | 138 | 37 | 4 | .256 | .331 | .523 | .854 |
| 11 Seasons | 5801 | 806 | 1293 | 325 | 13 | .257 | .349 | .509 | .858 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
93
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.2%
98
Exit velocity92.7
96
Hard-hit%50.7%
95
xBA0.349
80
xSLG0.723
96
xwOBA0.360
94
BB%9.5%
63
Bat speed72.9
89
K%25.0%
37
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg7.0 · 1B
93
Range Runs5.1 · 1B
88
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.0 · 1B
43
Sprint Speed25.4 · 1B
9
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3% · rebadged research
60
Correct Decisions68.5% · rebadged research
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
73
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.313 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
49
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.360 · insufficient sample
8
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.404 · validated
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
264 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Olson’s wOBA sits at 0.385, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.360 — a gap of 0.025, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 619 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pederson, Joc TEX · L | 0.71 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Devers, Rafael SF · L | 0.69 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Rice, Ben NYY · L | 0.68 | Strikeout rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Alonso, Pete BAL · R | 0.65 | Bat speedChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 12 | 2026-08-06 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 21 | 2026-09-01 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.459 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.362 xwOBA | 31 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ MIA0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2 K, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-20 @ WSH1 HR | 3 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, 3 RBI, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ PHI0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 3 BB, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-15 vs MIA1 HR | 2 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, K, 2 RBI |