Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2018-07-31 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Ryan O'Hearn
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 220 lb · Age 32
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 494 | 60 | 117 | 15 | 3 | .264 | .334 | .427 | .761 |
| 2025 | 544 | 67 | 133 | 17 | 3 | .281 | .366 | .437 | .803 |
| 2026 | 339 | 49 | 88 | 16 | 1 | .288 | .351 | .487 | .838 |
| 9 Seasons | 2816 | 323 | 648 | 100 | 12 | .256 | .325 | .429 | .754 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
72
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.345 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.333 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.338 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.314
0.325
0.338
0.350
0.362
wOBA
0.343
0.358
0.375
0.393
0.408
ISO
0.156
0.170
0.185
0.200
0.213
K%
19.1%
20.2%
21.4%
22.6%
23.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.1%
67
+19 vs proj
Exit velocity89.9
72
Hard-hit%44.9%
76
xBA0.346
76
xSLG0.567
69
xwOBA0.333
73
BB%7.8%
39
Bat speed69.0
40
K%21.7%
55
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.1 · RF
18
Arm Strength84.8 · RF
3
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs-2.3 · RF
25
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-3.1 · RF
2
Sprint Speed26.7 · RF
32
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.7% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.2% · rebadged research
16
Correct Decisions63.5% · rebadged research
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.247 · insufficient sample
99
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
57
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
60
Resists FastballwOBA 0.401 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.390 · validated
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
164 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.008 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.035 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
O'Hearn’s wOBA sits at 0.375, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.333 — a gap of 0.042, -1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 359 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R | 0.80 | Sprint speedWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Pages, Andy LAD · R | 0.74 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Steer, Spencer CIN · R | 0.74 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Jung, Josh TEX · R | 0.73 | Bat speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-07-07 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.341 xwOBA | 17 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | K, R, SB |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-12 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | K |