Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 196 lb |
| Debut | 2025-04-05 |
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks
Tim Tawa
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 196 lb · Age 27
Club Arizona Diamondbacks
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 225 | 29 | 40 | 7 | 8 | .201 | .274 | .347 | .621 |
| 2026 | 103 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 2 | .227 | .303 | .432 | .735 |
| 2 Seasons | 328 | 39 | 60 | 11 | 10 | .209 | .283 | .373 | .656 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.298 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.292 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.296 |
| Observed weight | 35% |
xwOBA
0.254
0.274
0.296
0.318
0.338
wOBA
0.359
0.387
0.418
0.448
0.476
ISO
0.117
0.139
0.164
0.190
0.212
K%
19.3%
21.4%
23.7%
26.0%
28.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.4%
25
-30 vs proj
Exit velocity85.2
19
Hard-hit%38.5%
47
xBA0.307
32
xSLG0.472
36
xwOBA0.292
34
-15 vs proj
BB%10.2%
68
+18 vs proj
Bat speed68.6
36
K%22.0%
52
+22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · LF
48
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
90
Range Runs1.0 · LF
60
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · LF
53
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.1% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.7% · rebadged research
86
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · borderline
90
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
19
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
38
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
47
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318 · validated
85
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
62 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.110 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Tawa’s wOBA sits at 0.418, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.292 — a gap of 0.125, -3.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 118 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-04-08 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.308 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2 K, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-12 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-11 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K, CS |