Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 198 lb |
| Debut | 2021-09-18 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Nick Fortes
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 198 lb · Age 29
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 335 | 28 | 70 | 4 | 0 | .227 | .259 | .318 | .577 |
| 2025 | 242 | 19 | 50 | 5 | 1 | .229 | .296 | .349 | .645 |
| 2026 | 323 | 33 | 77 | 6 | 0 | .258 | .304 | .376 | .680 |
| 6 Seasons | 1497 | 160 | 316 | 34 | 11 | .231 | .285 | .351 | .636 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
20
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.286 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.273 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.278 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.250
0.263
0.278
0.293
0.306
wOBA
0.287
0.302
0.319
0.336
0.351
ISO
0.102
0.117
0.134
0.152
0.167
K%
12.5%
13.9%
15.4%
16.8%
18.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.6%
19
Exit velocity84.0
13
Hard-hit%36.6%
42
+17 vs proj
xBA0.281
14
xSLG0.383
8
xwOBA0.273
21
BB%3.8%
8
Bat speed70.4
63
K%13.5%
94
+20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
62
Catcher Throwing0.3 · C
61
Framing Runs-1.8 · C
26
Pop Time1.9 · C
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.0 · C
28
Sprint Speed26.9 · C
35
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.3% · rebadged research
16
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.0% · rebadged research
31
Correct Decisions61.9% · rebadged research
14
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
32
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
60
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
56
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
72
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.324 · validated
95
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
187 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.044 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Fortes’s wOBA sits at 0.319, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.273 — a gap of 0.046, -1.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 340 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L | 0.65 | Barrel rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| DeLuca, Jonny TB · R | 0.59 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Altuve, Jose HOU · R | 0.52 | Chase rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Diaz, Yainer HOU · R | 0.48 | Walk rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-07-24 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 7 | 2026-10-12 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.269 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | K |
| 2026-04-14 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 1 E | 1-4 | RBI, R |
| 2026-04-12 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |