Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 198 lb |
| Debut | 2021-09-18 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Nick Fortes
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 198 lb · Age 29
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 335 | 28 | 70 | 4 | 0 | .227 | .259 | .318 | .577 |
| 2025 | 242 | 19 | 50 | 5 | 1 | .229 | .296 | .349 | .645 |
| 2026 | 284 | 28 | 68 | 4 | 0 | .260 | .304 | .359 | .663 |
| 6 Seasons | 1458 | 155 | 307 | 32 | 11 | .231 | .284 | .347 | .631 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
21
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.286 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.281 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.283 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.253
0.267
0.283
0.298
0.313
wOBA
0.281
0.297
0.315
0.334
0.350
ISO
0.091
0.108
0.126
0.144
0.161
K%
11.7%
13.1%
14.6%
16.2%
17.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
19
Exit velocity84.3
14
Hard-hit%35.7%
38
xBA0.288
18
xSLG0.388
10
xwOBA0.281
26
BB%3.3%
6
Bat speed70.3
61
K%12.0%
96
+24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.1 · C
50
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
55
Framing Runs-0.8 · C
38
Pop Time1.9 · C
64
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.9 · C
26
Sprint Speed26.9 · C
36
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.3% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.7% · rebadged research
27
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
18
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.255 · borderline
97
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
32
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
68
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
61
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
14
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
162 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.005 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.040 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Fortes’s wOBA sits at 0.315, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.281 — a gap of 0.035, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 299 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L | 0.65 | Barrel rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Rengifo, Luis MIL · L | 0.55 | Fly-ball rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Altuve, Jose HOU · R | 0.52 | Pull rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L | 0.49 | Bat speedBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-07-24 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 1 | 2026-07-29 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.276 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | K |
| 2026-04-14 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 1 E | 1-4 | RBI, R |
| 2026-04-12 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |