Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Nathaniel Lowe

DH profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position DH Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.328
xwOBA current pace0.386
xwOBA rolling p500.352
Observed weight41%
xwOBA
0.318 0.334 0.352 0.370 0.386
wOBA
0.399 0.423 0.450 0.476 0.501
ISO
0.174 0.196 0.220 0.244 0.266
K%
20.7% 22.3% 24.0% 25.7% 27.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%10.3%
68
Barrel%9.6%
92 +36 vs proj
Bat speed72.2
82
Exit velocity89.9
69
Hard-hit%47.0%
80 +21 vs proj
K%22.4%
47
xBA0.389
93
xSLG0.743
95
xwOBA0.386
94 +35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
27
Range Runs-1.5 · 1B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.9 · DH
18
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.1% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7% · rebadged research
18
Correct Decisions67.2% · rebadged research
59
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
28
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
1
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
19
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.374 · insufficient sample
2
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
81
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
59
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Lowe, Nathaniel · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3662026-05-19: 0.3722026-05-21: 0.3662026-05-23: 0.3712026-05-24: 0.3902026-05-25: 0.3902026-05-26: 0.3922026-05-28: 0.3902026-05-29: 0.3922026-05-30: 0.3922026-05-31: 0.3942026-06-01: 0.386 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Lowe, Nathaniel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 25%25%Whiff: 18%18%Zone contact: 87%87%Contact: 82%82%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lb
Debut2019-04-29
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.066
wOBA Δ+0.129

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-04-30Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.320 xwOBA | 17 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ PHI0 HR | 3 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2 2B, 2 K, 3 RBI
2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K
2026-04-12 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | 3 BB, K
2026-04-11 vs LAA0 HR | 3 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2B, K, 3 RBI
2026-04-09 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K