Mithrandir Metrics
Player Minnesota Twins Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Minnesota Twins

Ryan Jeffers

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 235 lb · Age 29

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Minnesota Twins Position C Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20244655693213.226.300.432.732
20254644710891.266.356.397.753
2026161273981.291.400.552.952
7 Seasons2016234431768.243.328.429.757
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
78
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
80
Defense4 metrics
45
Speed1 metrics
27
Plate skills10 metrics
42
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.320
xwOBA current pace0.389
xwOBA rolling p500.350
Observed weight44%
xwOBA
0.322 0.335 0.350 0.366 0.379
wOBA
0.413 0.436 0.461 0.487 0.510
ISO
0.175 0.192 0.212 0.231 0.249
K%
15.7% 17.0% 18.6% 20.1% 21.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.2%
97 +40 vs proj
Exit velocity90.2
76
Hard-hit%41.1%
60
xBA0.326
56
xSLG0.610
79
xwOBA0.389
98 +33 vs proj
BB%13.6%
92 +40 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
72
K%14.8%
87 +25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.4 · C
72
Catcher Throwing-1.3 · C
15
Framing Runs0.9 · C
64
Pop Time2.0 · C
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.5 · C
27
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.8% · rebadged research
90
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.5% · rebadged research
27
Correct Decisions67.2% · rebadged research
61
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.325 · borderline
4
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
46
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
55
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.361 · insufficient sample
8
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
50
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.423 · validated
1
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
76
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Jeffers, Ryan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.389 2026-07-07: 0.3892026-07-08: 0.3892026-07-09: 0.3892026-07-10: 0.3892026-07-11: 0.3892026-07-12: 0.3902026-07-13: 0.3902026-07-14: 0.3892026-07-15: 0.3892026-07-16: 0.3892026-07-17: 0.3892026-07-18: 0.389 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

117 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Jeffers, Ryan · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsPull 15%Center field third: 67% of plotted batted ballsCenter 67%Right field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsOppo 19% LF 339 CF 403 RF 328 2026-03-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 43.02026-03-15 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 30.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 65.5 / LA -57.02026-03-16 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 68.0 / LA 22.02026-03-16 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 26.02026-03-16 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 53.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 75.3 / LA 12.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 72.7 / LA 63.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 34.02026-03-21 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 30.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · popup · EV 72.8 / LA 62.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.9 / LA 75.02026-03-22 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -11.02026-03-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.5 / LA 1.02026-03-24 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 10.02026-03-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 55.1 / LA -45.02026-03-26 · field out · ST · popup · EV 84.8 / LA 66.02026-03-26 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 0.02026-03-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 16.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA -12.02026-03-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 95.2 / LA 10.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · popup · EV 85.8 / LA 74.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 34.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 26.02026-04-01 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 105.7 / LA 20.02026-04-03 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 71.0 / LA 37.02026-04-03 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 5.02026-04-03 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA -18.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · popup · EV 81.0 / LA 69.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 108.6 / LA 12.02026-04-05 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 37.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 41.0 / LA -22.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 48.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 80.5 / LA 47.02026-04-07 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -20.02026-04-07 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 90.3 / LA 11.02026-04-08 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 70.6 / LA -15.02026-04-08 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 13.02026-04-10 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 30.02026-04-10 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 108.4 / LA 8.02026-04-10 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -8.02026-04-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 39.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · popup · EV 93.5 / LA 72.02026-04-11 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.2 / LA -10.02026-04-13 · home run · SI · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 21.02026-04-13 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 0.02026-04-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -8.02026-04-13 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 79.1 / LA 20.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · popup · EV 63.1 / LA 49.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 31.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.3 / LA -24.02026-04-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 4.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · popup · EV 75.6 / LA 66.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 35.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 27.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 65.02026-04-18 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 31.02026-04-18 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 16.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 0.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.7 / LA 52.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 34.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 49.02026-04-23 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.8 / LA 39.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 25.02026-04-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -2.02026-04-25 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 73.1 / LA 16.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 42.02026-04-26 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 92.4 / LA 10.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 53.9 / LA 77.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.5 / LA 72.02026-04-27 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 67.2 / LA 22.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -20.02026-04-27 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 109.0 / LA 5.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.4 / LA 39.02026-04-29 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 15.02026-04-29 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 112.0 / LA 9.02026-04-30 · single · FC · popup · EV 88.3 / LA 74.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA -17.02026-04-30 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 31.02026-05-01 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 29.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 90.1 / LA 11.02026-05-01 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 52.9 / LA 11.02026-05-02 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 73.9 / LA -8.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 30.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 54.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA -10.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 36.02026-05-05 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 36.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 23.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.7 / LA -7.02026-05-06 · field out · SL · popup · EV 83.6 / LA 69.02026-05-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 95.2 / LA 21.02026-05-07 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 107.6 / LA 27.02026-05-07 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 55.7 / LA 5.02026-05-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA -7.02026-05-08 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA -17.02026-05-10 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -15.02026-05-10 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.8 / LA 7.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.2 / LA 71.02026-05-10 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 89.9 / LA 22.02026-05-12 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 111.1 / LA 26.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 113.4 / LA 14.02026-05-14 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA -8.02026-05-14 · field out · FS · popup · EV 80.1 / LA 67.02026-05-15 · field out · FC · popup · EV 96.9 / LA 69.02026-05-15 · field error · ST · ground_ball · EV 84.5 / LA -8.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.9 / LA -55.02026-05-16 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 10.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 67.4 / LA 19.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.6 / LA 31.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 20.02026-05-17 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 30.02026-05-17 · field out · ST · popup · EV 80.3 / LA 61.02026-05-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 7.02026-05-18 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 24.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA -4.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -39.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Jeffers, Ryan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 25%25%Whiff: 16%16%Zone contact: 92%92%Contact: 84%84%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Jeffers, Ryan · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.0 mph Hard swing rate 37% Whiff / swing 19% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 2"
Weight235 lb
Debut2020-08-20
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.068
wOBA Δ+0.141

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.461
xwOBA (deserved)0.389

Jeffers’s wOBA sits at 0.461, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.389 — a gap of 0.072, -2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 176 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting42026-05-17Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.321 xwOBA | 16 HRProjection
2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4
2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-13 vs BOS1 HR | 3 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E3-4 | HR, BB, 3 RBI
2026-04-11 @ TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, RBI, R
2026-04-08 vs DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2 BB, K, RBI