Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	120	17	25	5	0	.219	.258	.447	.705
2025	386	46	74	19	5	.213	.281	.434	.715
2026	492	64	107	24	8	.238	.296	.472	.768
5 Seasons	1273	155	255	57	14	.219	.276	.429	.705

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-02

86

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

72

Defense4 metrics

50

Speed4 metrics

49

Plate skills10 metrics

40

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-02

xwOBA preseason	0.317
xwOBA current pace	0.339
xwOBA rolling p50	0.332
Observed weight	70%

xwOBA

0.309 0.320 0.332 0.345 0.356

wOBA

0.324 0.337 0.351 0.365 0.378

ISO

0.195 0.207 0.220 0.233 0.245

K%

20.5% 21.7% 22.9% 24.2% 25.3%

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-02

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%8.6%

91 +25 vs proj

Exit velocity92.0

92

Hard-hit%47.7%

88 +16 vs proj

xBA0.340

73

xSLG0.627

85

xwOBA0.339

84 +29 vs proj

BB%6.3%

26

Bat speed70.2

59

K%22.5%

51

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Runs-1.7 · 2B

3

Arm Strength87.9 · 2B

58

Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B

72

Range Runs1.4 · 2B

68

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs1.5 · 2B

77

Bolts1.0 · 2B

11

SB Success Rate80.0% · 2B

48

Sprint Speed27.8 · 2B

59

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-02

Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.1% · rebadged research

38

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.7% · rebadged research

26

Correct Decisions64.5% · rebadged research

33

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96

29

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline

20

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample

3

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample

34

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample

57

Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated

65

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330 · validated

93

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Kody Clemens's tools (81) outpace production (68) by 12 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Launch Angle Too High

-12.5° Current 32° → Target 20°

Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

221 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.5σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.351

xwOBA (deserved)0.339

Clemens’s wOBA sits at 0.351, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.339 — a gap of 0.012, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 510 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Steer, Spencer CIN · R	0.70	xwOBA on contactStrikeout rate	Player · Projection
Abrams, CJ WSH · L	0.65	Isolated powerIn-zone contact	Player · Projection
Merrill, Jackson SD · L	0.63	Hard-hit rateWalk rate	Player · Projection
Lowe, Brandon PIT · L	0.62	Fly-ball rateChase rate	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
Hitting	9	2026-08-29	Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding	19	2026-08-28	6 chances \| 0 difficult plays \| Run Exp -1.895

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.309 xwOBA \| 17 HR	Projection
2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR \| 0 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| K
2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR \| 0 RBI / 1 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| K
2026-04-14 vs BOS0 HR \| 0 RBI / 11 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| HBP, K, SB
2026-04-12 @ TOR1 HR \| 1 RBI / 6 Ch \| 0 E	1-5 \| HR, 2 K, RBI
2026-04-09 vs DET0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| 2 BB, K, SB

Age	30
Height	6' 0"
Weight	200 lb
Debut	2022-05-31

xwOBA Δ	+0.030
wOBA Δ	+0.042

Hitter Projections 20260.309 xwOBA \| 17 HR	Projection
2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR \| 0 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| K
2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR \| 0 RBI / 1 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| K
2026-04-14 vs BOS0 HR \| 0 RBI / 11 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| HBP, K, SB
2026-04-12 @ TOR1 HR \| 1 RBI / 6 Ch \| 0 E	1-5 \| HR, 2 K, RBI
2026-04-09 vs DET0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| 2 BB, K, SB

Kody Clemens

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Swing path and decision map

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail