Mithrandir Metrics
Player ATH Refreshed Oct 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / ATH

Carlos Cortes

Player · Bats/Throws L/S · 5' 7", 197 lb · Age 29

Cards
22
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club ATH Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202599112940.309.323.543.866
20263813086102.251.318.397.715
2 Seasons48041115142.263.319.428.747
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-18
41
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
45
Defense4 metrics
28
Speed1 metrics
18
Plate skills13 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
43
Exit velocity88.5
57
Hard-hit%36.1%
39
xBA0.297
26
xSLG0.451
32
xwOBA0.301
49
BB%7.9%
43
Bat speed68.7
38
K%16.8%
83
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · RF
60
Arm Strength92.5 · RF
41
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · RF
9
Range Runs-7.9 · RF
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · RF
18
SB Success Rate50.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-10-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.0% · rebadged research
80
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions70.0% · rebadged research
86
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
86
Changeup Stuff+87
4
Mithrandir Stuff+80
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.313 · borderline
16
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
59
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
29
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.383 · validated
6
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
78
Slider Stuff+75
0
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Cortes, Carlos · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.301 0.301 2026-10-07: 0.3012026-10-08: 0.3012026-10-09: 0.3012026-10-10: 0.3012026-10-11: 0.3012026-10-12: 0.3012026-10-13: 0.3012026-10-14: 0.3012026-10-15: 0.3012026-10-16: 0.3012026-10-17: 0.3012026-10-18: 0.301 2026-10-07 2026-10-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 95%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Cortes, Carlos · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cortes, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot Other: 95.0%Eephus: 5.0% FA95% · 72 mphprimary pitch FA 95%EP 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cortes, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot 21″42″63″84″ Other: 95% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 71.5 mphFA72 mphEephus: 5% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 72″ drop, 60.7 mphEP61 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 62.5% 45 87 limited sample
SL 30.6% 22 75 limited sample
FB 5.6% 4 70 limited sample
CB 1.4% 1 81 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.6σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.317
xwOBA (deserved)0.301

Cortes’s wOBA sits at 0.317, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.301 — a gap of 0.017, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 392 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

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Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-04-20Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding202026-09-275 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.584
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

No projection links or recent game log rows are available yet.