Mithrandir Metrics
Player Athletics Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Athletics

Carlos Cortes

RF · Bats/Throws L/S · 5' 7", 197 lb · Age 29

Cards
14
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Athletics Position RF Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202599112940.309.323.543.866
2026328277682.259.329.399.728
2 Seasons42738105122.271.328.434.762
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
44
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
48
Defense4 metrics
33
Speed1 metrics
19
Plate skills13 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-02
xwOBA preseason0.293
xwOBA current pace0.306
xwOBA rolling p500.301
Observed weight61%
xwOBA
0.276 0.288 0.301 0.314 0.326
wOBA
0.291 0.307 0.324 0.341 0.356
ISO
0.121 0.137 0.156 0.174 0.191
K%
14.2% 15.9% 17.9% 19.8% 21.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
43 -16 vs proj
Exit velocity88.8
61
Hard-hit%36.8%
43
xBA0.301
30
xSLG0.458
33
xwOBA0.306
52
BB%8.3%
48
Bat speed68.7
38
K%16.8%
83 +26 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.4 · RF
82
Arm Strength91.6 · RF
33
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
12
Range Runs-6.9 · RF
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · RF
19
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-02
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.4% · rebadged research
86
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.1% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions71.0% · rebadged research
89
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
90
Changeup Stuff+95
11
Mithrandir Stuff+84
6
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
10
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
45
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.300 · validated thin sample
13
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
61
Resists FastballwOBA 0.367 · validated
12
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.340 · validated
85
Slider Stuff+81
1
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Cortes, Carlos · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.306 2026-08-22: 0.3202026-08-23: 0.3202026-08-24: 0.3202026-08-25: 0.3142026-08-26: 0.3142026-08-27: 0.3132026-08-28: 0.3132026-08-29: 0.3132026-08-30: 0.3102026-08-31: 0.3082026-09-01: 0.3072026-09-02: 0.306 2026-08-22 2026-09-02 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 94%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Cortes, Carlos · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cortes, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot Other: 94.0%Eephus: 6.0% FA94% · 71 mphprimary pitch FA 94%EP 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cortes, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot 21″42″63″84″ Other: 94% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 71.1 mphFA71 mphEephus: 6% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 72″ drop, 60.7 mphEP61 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 50.0% 23 95 limited sample
SL 39.1% 18 81 limited sample
FB 8.7% 4 71 limited sample
CB 2.2% 1 83 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height5' 7"
Weight197 lb
Debut2025-07-23
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.010
wOBA Δ+0.007

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.6σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.324
xwOBA (deserved)0.306

Cortes’s wOBA sits at 0.324, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.017, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 339 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

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Caratini, Victor MIN · L 0.72 Barrel rateSwing length Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-04-20Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding122026-08-315 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.520
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.317 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, HBP, K
2026-04-20 @ SEA1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E4-5 | HR, RBI, R
2026-04-17 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB
2026-04-15 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K, R
2026-04-13 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3