Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / MIN
Víctor Caratini
Player · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 0", 225 lb · Age 33
Club MIN
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 274 | 30 | 66 | 8 | 0 | .269 | .336 | .408 | .744 |
| 2025 | 386 | 35 | 89 | 12 | 1 | .259 | .324 | .404 | .728 |
| 2026 | 382 | 28 | 72 | 7 | 0 | .220 | .312 | .315 | .627 |
| 10 Seasons | 2615 | 243 | 554 | 65 | 5 | .241 | .320 | .363 | .683 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
46
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
45
Exit velocity89.1
65
Hard-hit%37.9%
48
xBA0.296
25
xSLG0.471
41
xwOBA0.306
54
BB%8.8%
54
Bat speed69.2
43
K%21.5%
60
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.9 · C
77
Catcher Throwing-3.9 · C
2
Framing Runs2.6 · C
76
Outs Above Avg1.0 · C
95
Pop Time2.0 · C
4
Range Runs0.4 · C
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.4 · C
2
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.7% · rebadged research
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.6% · rebadged research
14
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
20
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
50
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.251 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.358 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.305 · validated
94
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.295 · validated
99
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
167 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Caratini’s wOBA sits at 0.304, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.001, 0.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 400 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cortes, Carlos ATH · L | 0.74 | Fly-ball rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Kelly, Carson CHC · R | 0.73 | Bat speedGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Bailey, Patrick CLE · L | 0.69 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Crawford, J.P. SEA · L | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-06-29 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 7 | 2026-09-14 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.310 xwOBA | 13 HR | Projection |