Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Mets Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Mets

Jared Young

1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 200 lb · Age 31

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Mets Position 1B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2023478822.186.255.465.720
2025475840.186.234.488.722
2026163173560.243.325.417.742
4 Seasons2793256123.225.301.434.735
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
66
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
62
Defense4 metrics
65
Speed1 metrics
58
Plate skills10 metrics
47
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
xwOBA preseason0.264
xwOBA current pace0.326
xwOBA rolling p500.291
Observed weight44%
xwOBA
0.242 0.265 0.291 0.317 0.340
wOBA
0.302 0.324 0.348 0.373 0.395
ISO
0.108 0.133 0.160 0.188 0.212
K%
17.7% 20.9% 24.5% 28.1% 31.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
86 +39 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
66
Hard-hit%45.8%
79 +39 vs proj
xBA0.312
39
xSLG0.535
59
xwOBA0.326
67 +31 vs proj
BB%7.5%
36
Bat speed71.2
73
K%22.0%
52 +35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · 1B
96
Arm Strength84.6 · 1B
33
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
78
Range Runs0.5 · 1B
54
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · 1B
58
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-19
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.9% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions65.3% · rebadged research
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
63
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
62
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
41
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Young, Jared · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.326 2026-07-08: 0.3122026-07-09: 0.3182026-07-10: 0.3212026-07-11: 0.3202026-07-12: 0.3222026-07-13: 0.3222026-07-14: 0.3252026-07-15: 0.3252026-07-16: 0.3252026-07-17: 0.3252026-07-18: 0.3262026-07-19: 0.326 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

51 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Young, Jared · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsOppo 14% LF 335 CF 408 RF 330 2026-03-16 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 63.0 / LA -66.02026-03-16 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 77.6 / LA 40.02026-03-16 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -27.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 27.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.2 / LA 25.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 22.02026-03-21 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 21.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 28.02026-03-30 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 69.1 / LA -21.02026-03-30 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 113.5 / LA 15.02026-03-30 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -7.02026-03-30 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 56.4 / LA -45.02026-03-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -32.02026-03-31 · double play · CU · line_drive · EV 74.1 / LA 15.02026-03-31 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 111.8 / LA -6.02026-04-04 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.4 / LA -44.02026-04-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 6.02026-04-05 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 31.02026-04-05 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 56.6 / LA 30.02026-04-07 · sac fly · CH · fly_ball · EV 106.3 / LA 39.02026-04-09 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA 2.02026-04-10 · fielders choice out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -14.02026-04-10 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 43.4 / LA -69.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA -17.02026-04-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 107.9 / LA -2.02026-04-12 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 4.02026-05-27 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 65.3 / LA -48.02026-05-27 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 15.02026-05-31 · field out · FA · line_drive · EV 104.6 / LA 21.02026-05-31 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 73.2 / LA -6.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 0.02026-06-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 26.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 11.02026-06-05 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 111.1 / LA 25.02026-06-05 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 109.3 / LA 12.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA -47.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 88.7 / LA 23.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 79.8 / LA 23.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 44.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 23.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.4 / LA 67.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 17.02026-06-18 · field error · KC · ground_ball · EV 60.0 / LA -52.02026-06-24 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 23.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.0 / LA 36.02026-06-26 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 56.3 / LA 25.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 72.4 / LA 49.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 42.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -4.02026-06-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA -4.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -5.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Young, Jared · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 46%46% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 2"
Weight200 lb
Debut2022-09-16
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.032
wOBA Δ+0.054

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.348
xwOBA (deserved)0.326

Young’s wOBA sits at 0.348, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.326 — a gap of 0.022, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 173 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-07-16On-base pressure held the card together
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-04-12 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-2
2026-04-09 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-04-07 vs AZ0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-0 | RBI
2026-04-05 @ SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E3-3 | 2B
2026-04-04 @ SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-1 | BB, R