Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2022-08-31 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 230 lb · Age 25
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 719 | 118 | 177 | 37 | 21 | .281 | .364 | .529 | .893 |
| 2025 | 651 | 85 | 158 | 17 | 30 | .274 | .349 | .438 | .787 |
| 2026 | 614 | 82 | 122 | 22 | 10 | .223 | .306 | .407 | .713 |
| 5 Seasons | 2738 | 397 | 630 | 108 | 72 | .259 | .338 | .466 | .804 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
65
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.367 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.320 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.332 |
| Observed weight | 74% |
xwOBA
0.310
0.320
0.332
0.344
0.355
wOBA
0.310
0.322
0.335
0.347
0.359
ISO
0.170
0.183
0.196
0.210
0.222
K%
19.4%
20.3%
21.4%
22.4%
23.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.9%
52
-32 vs proj
Exit velocity89.8
75
Hard-hit%44.8%
79
-18 vs proj
xBA0.324
55
xSLG0.530
59
xwOBA0.320
69
-27 vs proj
BB%9.4%
61
Bat speed72.5
85
K%21.4%
59
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
61
Arm Strength93.9 · SS
92
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
72
Range Runs1.0 · SS
64
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.5 · SS
87
Bolts2.0 · SS
29
SB Success Rate77.8% · SS
41
Sprint Speed28.3 · SS
75
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.1% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.8% · rebadged research
27
Correct Decisions65.1% · rebadged research
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.329 · borderline
6
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · insufficient sample
24
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.315 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.361 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.295 · validated
98
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
271 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.049 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.035 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Henderson’s wOBA sits at 0.335, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.320 — a gap of 0.014, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 627 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R | 0.82 | Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Young, Jared NYM · L | 0.80 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.79 | Isolated powerWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L | 0.77 | Bat speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-08-30 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 18 | 2026-08-31 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.302 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 |
| 2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 BB, 3 K |
| 2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, R, SB |