Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2022-08-31 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 230 lb · Age 25
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 719 | 118 | 177 | 37 | 21 | .281 | .364 | .529 | .893 |
| 2025 | 651 | 85 | 158 | 17 | 30 | .274 | .349 | .438 | .787 |
| 2026 | 702 | 88 | 140 | 24 | 10 | .225 | .309 | .403 | .712 |
| 5 Seasons | 2826 | 403 | 648 | 110 | 72 | .259 | .338 | .464 | .802 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
66
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
55
Exit velocity89.3
68
Hard-hit%43.6%
76
xBA0.329
63
xSLG0.535
60
xwOBA0.322
72
BB%9.6%
65
Bat speed72.2
82
K%22.0%
56
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · SS
82
Arm Strength93.9 · SS
92
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
73
Range Runs0.7 · SS
61
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.6 · SS
82
Bolts2.0 · SS
26
SB Success Rate77.8% · SS
43
Sprint Speed28.2 · SS
71
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.8% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.1% · rebadged research
24
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.330 · borderline
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.304 · validated
96
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.292 · insufficient sample
20
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.321 · validated thin sample
4
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
9
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Henderson’s wOBA sits at 0.334, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.322 — a gap of 0.012, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 719 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Young, Jared NYM · L | 0.82 | Pull rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.81 | Ground-ball rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R | 0.79 | Chase rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Stott, Bryson PHI · L | 0.75 | Max exit velocityWalk rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9 | 2026-09-21 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 29 | 2026-09-23 | 10 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.921 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 |
| 2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 BB, 3 K |
| 2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, R, SB |